AL Mabarrah vs Shabab AL Sahel
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AL Mabarrah are 9th on 4 points after 5 games, level on points with Al Ansar, 2 points clear of Reyady Abaseya. A win would take them above Al Ansar. Shabab AL Sahel are 11th on 1 point after 4 games, 1 point behind Reyady Abaseya, level on points with Al Akhaa Al Ahli. A win would take them above Reyady Abaseya.
Form. AL Mabarrah have won one, drawn three and lost five of their last nine league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L L. In this competition AL Mabarrah have gone D L L L L W. Shabab AL Sahel have won one, drawn two and lost four of their last seven league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L D.
The numbers. AL Mabarrah score 0.7 and concede 1.8 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Mabarrah average 5.6 shots (2.1 on target), 3.1 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Shabab AL Sahel score 0.7 and concede 1.4 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Shabab AL Sahel average 5.8 shots (3.6 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings AL Mabarrah have won none, drawn two and lost seven. Five of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, one was drawn and Shabab AL Sahel won three. The last time they met, on 30 Jun 2025, it finished AL Mabarrah 0-3 Shabab AL Sahel.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%; five of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. AL Mabarrah's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. Shabab AL Sahel to win. Their goals for and against make Shabab AL Sahel the likelier winners; Shabab AL Sahel are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Shabab AL Sahel.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AL Mabarrah 0-1 Shabab AL Sahel (12% chance).
The agreed story. Shabab AL Sahel or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).