Chanthaburi vs Phrae United
Match details. Thai League 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time. It is played at Chanthaburi Stadium.
What's at stake. Chanthaburi are 12th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Phrae United, level on points with Police Tero. A win would take them above Phrae United. Phrae United are 11th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Nakhon Pathom, 1 point clear of Chanthaburi. A win would take them above Nakhon Pathom.
Form. Chanthaburi have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D W D. Phrae United have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W W.
The numbers. Chanthaburi score one and concede 0.3 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Chanthaburi average 12.4 shots (4.2 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Phrae United score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Phrae United average 11.6 shots (4.0 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Chanthaburi have won none, drawn two and lost four. Six of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, one was drawn and Phrae United won three. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Chanthaburi 2-3 Phrae United.
Where it pulls both ways. Chanthaburi are the form side, but the meetings favour Phrae United: in the last six meetings, Phrae United won four and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%; six of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Six of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.28, rated 72% (Chanthaburi: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 6 at home; Phrae United: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Chanthaburi 2-1 Phrae United (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Chanthaburi the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).