THE READ
Match details. Tercera Federacion, Group 1. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:45 Lagos time.
Form. CD Estradense have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W L W W. Gran Pena FC have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L L L W.
The numbers. CD Estradense score 1.7 and concede 1.7 a game over their last nine, with no clean sheets. CD Estradense average 16.4 shots (8.4 on target), 7.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Gran Pena FC score two and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Gran Pena FC average 11.8 shots (4.9 on target), 4.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
The case against. Gran Pena FC's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. CD Estradense to win. An open game. CD Estradense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Estradense. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 73%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, rated 88% (CD Estradense: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10; Gran Pena FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: CD Estradense 2-1 Gran Pena FC (8% chance).
The agreed story. CD Estradense or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Gran Pena FC (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
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GRA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDE 9 of 10 (90%)86.7%
Gran Pena FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CD Estradense: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDE 9 of 10 (90%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)86%
CD Estradense: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
CD Estradense or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDE 7 of 10 (70%) · GRA 5 of 5 (100%)81.3%
CD Estradense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
CD Estradense or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
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CDE 9 of 10 (90%) · GRA 5 of 5 (100%)81.1%
CD Estradense: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
CD Estradense or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
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CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · GRA 6 of 8 (75%)72.7%
CD Estradense scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 away · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
CD Estradense or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
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CDE 7 of 10 (70%) · GRA 2 of 5 (40%)54.8%
CD Estradense: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
CD Estradense 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
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CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · GRA 5 of 8 (62%)49.5%
CD Estradense scored first 1 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC trailed in 3 of 5 away · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
GOALS
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CDE 10 of 10 (100%) · GRA 5 of 5 (100%)97%
CD Estradense: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
Over 1.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.20
CDE 10 of 10 (100%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)89.3%
CD Estradense: over 1.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
1.77
CDE 7 of 10 (70%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)74.3%
CD Estradense: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesIN CODES
1.60
CDE 9 of 10 (90%) · GRA 4 of 5 (80%)65.3%
CD Estradense: both scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
CD ESTRADENSE GOALS
CD Estradense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDE 9 of 10 (90%) · GRA 5 of 5 (100%)93.3%
CD Estradense scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
GRAN PENA FC GOALS
Gran Pena FC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.38
GRA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDE 10 of 10 (100%)70.3%
Gran Pena FC scored in 4 of 5 away · CD Estradense conceded in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
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CDE 7 of 8 (88%) · GRA 3 of 5 (60%)75.4%
CD Estradense's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
CARDS
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CDE 6 of 8 (75%) · GRA 3 of 5 (60%)70.8%
CD Estradense's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Gran Pena FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · CD Estradense: only games against sides at Gran Pena FC's level · Gran Pena FC: only games against sides at CD Estradense's level
Left off the list: CD Estradense (Draw No Bet) (the numbers (49%) and the records (62%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); CD Estradense to Win (the numbers (38%) and the records (55%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
TRENDS
CD Estradense have scored in 90% of their games.
Gran Pena FC have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Estradense kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.
Gran Pena FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.