Match details. Liga 3. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. CS Tunari have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. Csm Ramnicu Sarat have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W L.
The numbers. CS Tunari score 3.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. CS Tunari average 4.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Csm Ramnicu Sarat score 1.6 and concede two a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Csm Ramnicu Sarat average 3.3 corners and 4.3 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 92% against the records' 65%.
The read. No firm call: CS Tunari are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CS Tunari the likelier winners; CS Tunari are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CS Tunari. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CS Tunari 2-1 Csm Ramnicu Sarat (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CS Tunari the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).