Match details. Liga 3. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. ACS Unirea Santana have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W. CSM Unirea Alba Iulia have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. ACS Unirea Santana score two and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. ACS Unirea Santana average 4.7 corners and 0.7 cards a game. CSM Unirea Alba Iulia score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CSM Unirea Alba Iulia average 8.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: ACS Unirea Santana 1-2 CSM Unirea Alba Iulia (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CSM Unirea Alba Iulia the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).