Match details. Liga 3. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
Form. ACS Cil Blaj have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D D L. CSO Cugir have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L D.
The numbers. ACS Cil Blaj score 2.8 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. ACS Cil Blaj average 4.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CSO Cugir score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. CSO Cugir average 4.5 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 28% against the records' 53%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: ACS Cil Blaj 1-1 CSO Cugir (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (ACS Cil Blaj the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).