Match details. Botola Pro D2, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chabab Ben Guerir are 10th on 7 points after 6 games, 1 point behind El Massira, 1 point clear of Olympique Khouribga. A win would take them above El Massira. KAC Kenitra are 12th on 6 points after 6 games, level on points with Olympique Khouribga, 2 points clear of Chabab Atl. Khenifra. A win would take them above Olympique Khouribga.
Form. Chabab Ben Guerir have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W D L L. KAC Kenitra have won one, drawn three and lost four of their last eight league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W D L.
The numbers. Chabab Ben Guerir score 0.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. KAC Kenitra score 0.9 and concede 1.2 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. KAC Kenitra average 9.6 shots (3.3 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Chabab Ben Guerir have won four, drawn four and lost two. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Chabab Ben Guerir won one and three were drawn. The last time they met, on 1 Mar 2026, it finished Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 KAC Kenitra.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 18%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. Predicted score: Chabab Ben Guerir 0-0 KAC Kenitra (19% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Chabab Ben Guerir the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).