SLSPL

15:00Sat 7 Nov

COS

SP La Fiorita vs Cosmos Serravalle

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.

What's at stake. SP La Fiorita are 6th on 13 points after 7 games, 3 points behind Tre Fiori, 5 points clear of Fiorentino. A win would take them level on points with Tre Fiori. Cosmos Serravalle are 4th on 16 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Tre Penne, level on points with Tre Fiori. A win would take them above Tre Penne.

Form. SP La Fiorita have won three, drawn four and lost none of their last seven league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W W D. Cosmos Serravalle have won five, drawn one and lost one of their last seven league games, 2.3 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W.

The numbers. SP La Fiorita score 1.1 and concede 0.4 a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. SP La Fiorita average 9.0 shots (2.6 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Cosmos Serravalle score 2.3 and concede 0.6 a game over their last seven, with four clean sheets. Cosmos Serravalle average 8.0 shots (2.7 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.7 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last ten meetings SP La Fiorita have won five, drawn four and lost one. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, SP La Fiorita won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 19 Apr 2026, it finished SP La Fiorita 3-1 Cosmos Serravalle.

Where it pulls both ways. Cosmos Serravalle are the form side, but the meetings favour SP La Fiorita: in the last ten meetings, SP La Fiorita won five, Cosmos Serravalle won one and four were drawn.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 33%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: SP La Fiorita 1-1 Cosmos Serravalle (14% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (SP La Fiorita the favourite), a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.

The league run. SP La Fiorita: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D W W D). Cosmos Serravalle: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W W W W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

SP La Fiorita or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 7 of 7 (100%) · COS 6 of 8 (75%)68.5%

SP La Fiorita: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

Cosmos Serravalle or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

COS 8 of 8 (100%) · SPL 5 of 7 (71%)58.8%

Cosmos Serravalle: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SP La Fiorita: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · H2H 3 of 6 · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level

Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 5 of 7 (71%) · COS 6 of 8 (75%)53.6%

SP La Fiorita: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 6 of 7 (86%) · COS 4 of 8 (50%)50.3%

SP La Fiorita: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 5 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 7 of 7 (100%) · COS 7 of 8 (88%)97%

SP La Fiorita: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 7 of 7 (100%) · COS 7 of 8 (88%)93.5%

SP La Fiorita: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 6 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 7 of 7 (100%) · COS 6 of 8 (75%)77.6%

SP La Fiorita: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 5 of 7 (71%) · COS 7 of 8 (88%)73.2%

SP La Fiorita: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 4 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.54

SPL 5 of 7 (71%) · COS 6 of 8 (75%)45.2%

SP La Fiorita: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 3 of 6 · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 7 of 7 (100%) · COS 7 of 8 (88%)89%

SP La Fiorita: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SPL 6 of 7 (86%) · COS 6 of 8 (75%)74.8%

SP La Fiorita: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Cosmos Serravalle: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 6 · on half-time scores · SP La Fiorita: only games against sides at Cosmos Serravalle's level · Cosmos Serravalle: only games against sides at SP La Fiorita's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.5%

SP La Fiorita goals →

Cosmos Serravalle goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SP LA FIORITALLDDDDWWDW1.40 PPG

COSMOS SERRAVALLEDDLWWWWWDW2.10 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SP LA FIORITA HOMExCOSMOS SERRAVALLE AWAY

1.00SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME0.5040%CLEAN SHEETS60%29%FAILED TO SCORE14%2.80CORNERS A GAME4.331.40CARDS A GAME3.67

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.86POINTS A GAME2.29+0.71GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.71–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.07LEAGUE GAMES7

Cosmos Serravalle: the quality side - a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

72%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

25%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

95%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

SP LA FIORITA OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

COSMOS SERRAVALLE OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

SP LA FIORITAxCOSMOS SERRAVALLE

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME3.000.40CONCEDED A GAME0.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.260%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10

SP LA FIORITA 5 · 50%DRAW 4COSMOS SERRAVALLE 1 · 10%

4 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED

6 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS

2 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS

2023-05-20SP La Fiorita 1 – 2 Cosmos Serravalle

2023-10-21SP La Fiorita 1 – 1 Cosmos Serravalle

2024-02-17SP La Fiorita 1 – 0 Cosmos Serravalle

2024-05-17SP La Fiorita 2 – 0 Cosmos Serravalle

2024-11-02SP La Fiorita 2 – 2 Cosmos Serravalle

2025-03-01SP La Fiorita 3 – 0 Cosmos Serravalle

2025-05-10SP La Fiorita 0 – 0 Cosmos Serravalle

2025-05-13SP La Fiorita 0 – 0 Cosmos Serravalle

TRENDS

SP La Fiorita have scored in 60% of their games.

Cosmos Serravalle have scored in 80% of their games.

SP La Fiorita kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

Cosmos Serravalle kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards