Match details. Campionato Sammarinese, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AC Juvenes/Dogana are 13th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Pennarossa, level on points with Murata. A win would take them above Pennarossa. SS Pennarossa are 12th on 5 points after 7 games, level on points with Cailungo, 1 point clear of Juvenes / Dogana. A win would take them above Cailungo.
Form. AC Juvenes/Dogana have won one, drawn one and lost five of their last seven league games, 0.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L L L. SS Pennarossa have won one, drawn two and lost four of their last seven league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. AC Juvenes/Dogana score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. AC Juvenes/Dogana average 12.2 shots (3.6 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.6 cards a game. SS Pennarossa score 1.6 and concede 3.4 a game over their last seven, with no clean sheets.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings AC Juvenes/Dogana have won seven, drawn one and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, AC Juvenes/Dogana won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 18 Apr 2026, it finished AC Juvenes/Dogana 0-0 SS Pennarossa.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make AC Juvenes/Dogana the likelier winners, but SS Pennarossa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Juvenes/Dogana; the meetings favour AC Juvenes/Dogana.
The case against. SS Pennarossa's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. AC Juvenes/Dogana or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make AC Juvenes/Dogana the likelier winners; SS Pennarossa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AC Juvenes/Dogana; the meetings favour AC Juvenes/Dogana. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 59%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AC Juvenes/Dogana 2-1 SS Pennarossa (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AC Juvenes/Dogana the favourite), an open game.
The league run. AC Juvenes/Dogana: no win in their last three league games (D L L L L). SS Pennarossa: no win in their last three league games (D D L W L). Not confident in AC Juvenes/Dogana: no win in their last three league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).