Match details. Thai League 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Thunderdome Stadium, Nonthaburi.
What's at stake. Muang Thong United are 7th on 14 points after 9 games, level on points with Kanchanaburi, level on points with Chainat. A win would take them above Kanchanaburi. Pattaya Dolphins United are 15th on 9 points after 9 games, level on points with Muang Loei United, 2 points clear of Songkhla. A win would take them above Muang Loei United.
Form. Muang Thong United have won four, drawn two and lost three of their last nine league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D L L. Pattaya Dolphins United have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D L L W D.
The numbers. Muang Thong United score 1.1 and concede 0.9 a game over their last nine, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. Muang Thong United average 11.2 shots (4.5 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Pattaya Dolphins United score one and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Pattaya Dolphins United average 12.3 shots (4.0 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 64% against the records' 36%.
The read. No firm call: Muang Thong United are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Muang Thong United the likelier winners; Muang Thong United are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.41, rated 72% (Muang Thong United: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Pattaya Dolphins United: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Predicted score: Muang Thong United 1-1 Pattaya Dolphins United (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Muang Thong United the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).