IRELAND - FAI CUP
16:00Sun 8 Nov
DER
DC
Waterford FC vs Derry City FC
CLASS D
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Match details. FAI Cup, Final. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at Aviva Stadium, Dublin, a neutral ground.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Waterford FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W. Derry City FC have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W L W.
The numbers. Waterford FC score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Waterford FC average 9.8 shots (4.6 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Derry City FC score 1.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Derry City FC average 12.0 shots (4.5 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Waterford FC have won three, drawn two and lost five. Nine of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in eight. In the last four, Waterford FC won one, two were drawn and Derry City FC won one. The last time they met, on 14 Sep 2026, it finished Waterford FC 2-2 Derry City FC: Waterford FC had 16 shots to 14, 39% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Waterford FC 2-1 Derry City FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. Waterford FC or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Waterford FC in their last cup games: won 2-0 at Bohemians Dublin FC, won 3-0 v Sligo Rovers FC. Derry City FC in their last cup games: won 2-0 at Galway United FC, won 4-2 v Dundalk FC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Derry City FC to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY
1.10
DER 8 of 8 (100%) · WAT 8 of 8 (100%)97%
Derry City FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Waterford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level
Waterford FC or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 4 of 5 (80%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)82.5%
Waterford FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
1st Half - Double Chance: Waterford FC or DrawPAGE ONLY
1.41
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)82.3%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Waterford FC or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.41
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)74.7%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Waterford FC or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.31
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)73.7%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.29
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 4 of 8 (50%)69.8%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Waterford FC to Win to Nil: NoHELD · the odds board 90%
1.11
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)69.5%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)76.8%
Waterford FC: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.69
WAT 6 of 8 (75%) · DER 4 of 8 (50%)62.9%
Waterford FC: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
1.57
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 4 of 8 (50%)50.8%
Waterford FC: both scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
WATERFORD FC GOALS
Waterford FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.31
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 5 of 8 (62%)81.3%
Waterford FC scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
DERRY CITY FC GOALS
Derry City FC Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
DER 7 of 8 (88%) · WAT 7 of 8 (88%)88.5%
Derry City FC scored under 2.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Waterford FC conceded under 2.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level
Derry City FC Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.19
DER 7 of 8 (88%) · WAT 7 of 8 (88%)69.5%
Derry City FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Waterford FC conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level
HALVES
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.18
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.31
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 6 of 8 (75%)81.3%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+IN CODES
1.12
WAT 8 of 8 (100%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)75.8%
Waterford FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 7 of 8 (88%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)87.5%
Waterford FC's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC's games: over 7.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
WAT 5 of 8 (62%) · DER 7 of 8 (88%)75%
Waterford FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Derry City FC's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Waterford FC: only games against sides at Derry City FC's level · Derry City FC: only games against sides at Waterford FC's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 8.6%
Waterford FC goals →
Derry City FC goals ↓
0-04%
1-06%
2-06%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.5%
0-15%
1-111%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-32%
1-34%
2-34%
3-32%
4-30.9%
5-30.3%
0-40.9%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.8%
4-40.3%
5-40.1%
0-50.3%
1-50.5%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.1%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
WATERFORD FCWWDDLWLWWW2.00 PPG
DERRY CITY FCDWWDWWLWWD2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
WATERFORD FC HOMExDERRY CITY FC AWAY
2.20SCORED A GAME1.801.30CONCEDED A GAME1.2030%CLEAN SHEETS40%0%FAILED TO SCORE0%5.90CORNERS A GAME4.801.70CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
PRICE NOT KEPT
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.83POINTS A GAME1.64+0.58GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00+2.3SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.11.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.012LEAGUE GAMES11
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
61%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 85/90
WATERFORD FC OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
DERRY CITY FC OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (12 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
WATERFORD FCxDERRY CITY FC
6GAMES52.17SCORED A GAME1.601.17CONCEDED A GAME2.203.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.883%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%83%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
WATERFORD FC 3 · 30%DRAW 2DERRY CITY FC 5 · 50%
8 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
9 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
9 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
5 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-06-03Waterford FC 0 – 3 Derry City FC
2024-08-23Waterford FC 0 – 1 Derry City FC
2025-02-28Waterford FC 2 – 1 Derry City FC
2025-04-25Waterford FC 2 – 1 Derry City FC
2025-07-04Waterford FC 2 – 7 Derry City FC
2025-10-17Waterford FC 1 – 2 Derry City FC
2026-02-27Waterford FC 2 – 4 Derry City FC
2026-05-15Waterford FC 2 – 2 Derry City FC
TRENDS
Waterford FC have scored in 100% of their games.
Derry City FC have scored in 90% of their games.
Waterford FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Derry City FC kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards