FC Meyrin vs Lancy FC
Match details. 1. Liga Classic. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Meyrin have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L L. Lancy FC have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. FC Meyrin score 1.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. FC Meyrin average 3.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Lancy FC score 1.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Lancy FC average 4.7 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FC Meyrin the likelier winners, but Lancy FC are the stronger side on form and the table.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.17, rated 80% (FC Meyrin: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; Lancy FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.49. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: FC Meyrin 2-1 Lancy FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (FC Meyrin the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).