Match details. 3. SNL. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. NK Litija have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W D. NK Ziri have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L L.
The numbers. NK Litija score 1.8 and concede 0.7 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Litija average 6.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game. NK Ziri score one and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. NK Ziri average 5.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 73% against the records' 48%.
The read. No firm call: NK Litija are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make NK Litija the likelier winners; NK Litija are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Litija.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: NK Litija 1-1 NK Ziri (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (NK Litija the favourite), goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
NK Litija or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 5 of 5 (100%) · NKZ 9 of 10 (90%)77%
NK Litija: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · NK Ziri: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
NK Ziri (0:2 handicap)LEANHELD · the odds board 41%
2.45
NKZ 8 of 10 (80%) · NKL 3 of 5 (60%)67.4%
NK Ziri: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · NK Litija: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 62% · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKZ 8 of 10 (80%)63.5%
NK Litija: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · NK Ziri: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
NK Litija (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 74%
1.36
NKL 5 of 6 (83%) · NKZ 5 of 7 (71%)44.3%
NK Litija won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · NK Ziri lost 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 77% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level · won 4, refunded 4, lost 2
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKZ 8 of 10 (80%)92.5%
NK Litija: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NK Ziri: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKZ 9 of 10 (90%)86.6%
NK Litija: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NK Ziri: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.72
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKZ 9 of 10 (90%)71.9%
NK Litija: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NK Ziri: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 4 of 5 (80%) · NKZ 7 of 10 (70%)57.3%
NK Litija: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · NK Ziri: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
NK LITIJA GOALS
NK Litija Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.66
NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · NKZ 8 of 10 (80%)80%
NK Litija scored under 2.5 in 3 of 5 at home · NK Ziri conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
NK Litija Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NKL 3 of 5 (60%) · NKZ 6 of 10 (60%)60.4%
NK Litija scored in 3 of 5 at home · NK Ziri conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · NK Litija: only games against sides at NK Ziri's level · NK Ziri: only games against sides at NK Litija's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.8%
NK Litija goals →
NK Ziri goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
NK LITIJALWLWDWWWDD1.80 PPG
NK ZIRIWLWLLDDLDL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NK LITIJA HOMExNK ZIRI AWAY
2.17SCORED A GAME1.170.92CONCEDED A GAME1.2530%BOTH SCORED40%50%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.83CORNERS A GAME5.752.17CARDS A GAME2.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
NK Litija have scored in 70% of their games.
NK Ziri have scored in 60% of their games.
NK Litija kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
NK Ziri kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards