Sumsel United vs PSIS Semarang
PSIS Semarang scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Sumsel United conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · PSIS Semarang: only games against sides at Sumsel United's level · Sumsel United: only games against sides at PSIS Semarang's level
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring, Palembang.
Form. Sumsel United have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. PSIS Semarang have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L D L W.
The numbers. Sumsel United score 2.6 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. Sumsel United average 9.3 shots (4.0 on target), 6.7 corners and 3.7 cards a game. PSIS Semarang score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. PSIS Semarang average 13.8 shots (5.0 on target), 7.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
The case against. PSIS Semarang's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. Sumsel United to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Sumsel United the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Sumsel United. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 72%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.25, rated 85% (Sumsel United: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; PSIS Semarang: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Full cover: PSIS Semarang Under 1.5 Goals at 1.66. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Sumsel United 2-1 PSIS Semarang (10% chance).
The agreed story. Sumsel United or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).