Canterbury United Pride vs Waterside Karori
Match details. National League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Canterbury United Pride have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Waterside Karori have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W L.
The numbers. Canterbury United Pride score two and concede 3.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Waterside Karori score 1.3 and concede two a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 78% against the records' 56%.
The read. No firm call: Waterside Karori are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Waterside Karori the likelier winners; Waterside Karori are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Waterside Karori. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 79%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.33, rated 79% (Canterbury United Pride: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Waterside Karori: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6 away). Predicted score: Canterbury United Pride 1-2 Waterside Karori (7% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Waterside Karori the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).