TUNISIA - LIGUE 1
14:30Sat 7 Nov
USM
UM
Esperance Sportive de Tunis vs US Monastir
CLASS D
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Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Esperance Sportive de Tunis have won four, drawn one and lost one of their last six league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D W W W L. US Monastir have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D W D W.
The numbers. Esperance Sportive de Tunis score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last six, with two clean sheets. Esperance Sportive de Tunis average 9.3 shots (3.6 on target), 6.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game. US Monastir score 1.3 and concede 0.7 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and four games without a goal. US Monastir average 8.2 shots (3.8 on target), 3.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 66% against the records' 43%.
The read. No firm call: Esperance Sportive de Tunis are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Esperance Sportive de Tunis the likelier winners; Esperance Sportive de Tunis are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Esperance Sportive de Tunis 1-0 US Monastir (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Esperance Sportive de Tunis the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. Esperance Sportive de Tunis: one defeat in their last five league games (D W W W L). US Monastir: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D W D W). Not confident in Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the other side is unbeaten in five league games and they are not.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Esperance Sportive de Tunis or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 6 of 10 (60%)53.7%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Esperance Sportive de Tunis or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 6 of 10 (60%)53.7%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 6 of 10 (60%)53.7%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Esperance Sportive de Tunis or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 5 of 10 (50%)48.7%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the bet landed in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
US Monastir or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
USM 9 of 10 (90%) · ESP 3 of 6 (50%)40.5%
US Monastir: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 6 of 6 (100%) · USM 9 of 10 (90%)95.7%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 9 of 10 (90%)90.3%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 8 of 10 (80%)74.4%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
ESP 3 of 6 (50%) · USM 9 of 10 (90%)73.5%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 65%
1.55
ESP 2 of 6 (33%) · USM 6 of 10 (60%)29.5%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: under 2.5 goals in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.48
ESP 2 of 6 (33%) · USM 7 of 10 (70%)33%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: not both scored in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: not both scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 52% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
ESPERANCE SPORTIVE DE TUNIS GOALS
Esperance Sportive de Tunis Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 5 of 10 (50%)65.1%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis scored in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 6 of 6 (100%) · USM 8 of 10 (80%)91%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 4 of 6 (67%) · USM 7 of 10 (70%)69.3%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis: the bet landed in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ESP 5 of 6 (83%) · USM 4 of 6 (67%)75%
Esperance Sportive de Tunis's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · US Monastir's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Esperance Sportive de Tunis: only games against sides at US Monastir's level · US Monastir: only games against sides at Esperance Sportive de Tunis's level
Left off the list: Over 5.5 Corners (the numbers (43%) and the records (75%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); US Monastir or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (49%) and the records (77%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); US Monastir (0:2 handicap) (the numbers (66%) and the records (92%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 11.9%
Esperance Sportive de… goals →
US Monastir goals ↓
0-08%
1-012%
2-011%
3-07%
4-03%
5-01%
0-15%
1-112%
2-110%
3-16%
4-13%
5-10.9%
0-23%
1-25%
2-24%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-30.8%
1-31%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.2%
1-40.3%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
ESPERANCE SPORTIVE DE TUNISWWWLWWWLWD2.20 PPG
US MONASTIRWLLWDWDWDW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
ESPERANCE SPORTIVE DE TUNIS HOMExUS MONASTIR AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME1.300.80CONCEDED A GAME0.7050%CLEAN SHEETS50%6.56CORNERS A GAME3.172.67CARDS A GAME2.50
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
US MONASTIR 0:3 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME2.00+0.40GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+3.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.52.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.25LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
55%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
ESPERANCE SPORTIVE DE TUNIS OR DRAW
85%
OKAY · 80/85
US MONASTIR OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
ESPERANCE SPORTIVE DE TUNISxUS MONASTIR
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.601.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Esperance Sportive de Tunis have scored in 80% of their games.
US Monastir have scored in 60% of their games.
Esperance Sportive de Tunis kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
US Monastir kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards