KENYA - PREMIER LEAGUE
14:15Sat 7 Nov
LEO
LS
3K FC vs Leopards SC
CLASS D
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Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:15 Lagos time.
What's at stake. 3K FC are 5th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Kenya Police, 1 point clear of Murang'a SEAL. A win would take them above Kenya Police. Leopards SC are 3rd on 9 points after 5 games, 3 points behind GOR Mahia, 1 point clear of Kenya Police. A win would take them level on points with GOR Mahia.
Form. 3K FC have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W D D. Leopards SC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D W D.
The numbers. 3K FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with no clean sheets. 3K FC average 9.8 shots (2.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.7 cards a game. Leopards SC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Leopards SC average 9.7 shots (3.5 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.2 cards a game.
The case against. 3K FC's record still gives them 30% to win.
The read. Leopards SC or the draw. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: 3K FC 1-1 Leopards SC (14% chance).
The agreed story. Leopards SC or the draw, a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. 3K FC: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W D D). Leopards SC: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D D W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Leopards SC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.19
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · KFC 4 of 5 (80%)82.1%
Leopards SC scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · 3K FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Leopards SCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.23
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · KFC 3 of 5 (60%)63.5%
Leopards SC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · 3K FC failed to win 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level
Leopards SC or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.55
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · KFC 4 of 5 (80%)55.5%
Leopards SC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · 3K FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level
3K FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.90
KFC 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)50.3%
3K FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KFC 5 of 5 (100%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)96.9%
3K FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.14
KFC 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)77%
3K FC: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.11
KFC 5 of 5 (100%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)73%
3K FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.54
KFC 5 of 5 (100%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)54.5%
3K FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
3K FC GOALS
3K FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES
1.69
KFC 4 of 5 (80%) · LEO 3 of 5 (60%)56.1%
3K FC scored in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
LEOPARDS SC GOALS
Leopards SC Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.11
LEO 5 of 5 (100%) · KFC 4 of 5 (80%)90.2%
Leopards SC scored under 2.5 in 5 of 5 away · 3K FC conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level
Leopards SC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · KFC 5 of 5 (100%)50%
Leopards SC scored in 4 of 5 away · 3K FC conceded in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level · 3K FC: only games against sides at Leopards SC's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KFC 4 of 6 (67%) · LEO 4 of 5 (80%)75%
3K FC's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC's games: over 6.5 corners in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
CARDS
Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KFC 5 of 6 (83%) · LEO 5 of 5 (100%)85%
3K FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Leopards SC's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 72% · Leopards SC: only games against sides at 3K FC's level
Left off the list: Leopards SC or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (46%) and the records (60%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Leopards SC 1UP (the numbers (47%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Draw or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (68%) and the records (90%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Leopards SC win or both teams score (the numbers (68%) and the records (88%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.5%
3K FC goals →
Leopards SC goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-08%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
3K FCDDWWDDDWLW1.70 PPG
LEOPARDS SCWWWLLDWDDW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
3K FC HOMExLEOPARDS SC AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME1.201.10CONCEDED A GAME0.7030%CLEAN SHEETS50%20%FAILED TO SCORE60%4.50CORNERS A GAME5.801.67CARDS A GAME1.20
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
3K FC 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.60POINTS A GAME1.80-0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.60–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.81.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.85LEAGUE GAMES5
Leopards SC: the quality side - a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
50%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
98%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
3K FC OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
LEOPARDS SC OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (5 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
3K FCxLEOPARDS SC
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.801.60CONCEDED A GAME0.203.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES2.8–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
3K FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Leopards SC have scored in 70% of their games.
3K FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Leopards SC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards