Match details. Gamma Ethniki, Group 4 - 7. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AO Trikala 1963 are 1st on 15 points after 5 games, 3 points clear of Ethnikos Neou Keramidiou. Pierikos FC are 6th on 8 points after 5 games, level on points with Ermis Exochi, 1 point clear of Feraios. A win would take them above Ermis Exochi.
Form. AO Trikala 1963 have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. Pierikos FC have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D L W.
The numbers. AO Trikala 1963 score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. AO Trikala 1963 average 8.9 shots (3.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. Pierikos FC score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Pierikos FC average 12.8 shots (3.8 on target), 6.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings AO Trikala 1963 have won one, drawn one and lost four. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in none. In the last four, one was drawn and Pierikos FC won three. The last time they met, on 30 Mar 2025, it finished AO Trikala 1963 0-3 Pierikos FC.
Where it pulls both ways. AO Trikala 1963 are the form side, but the meetings favour Pierikos FC: in the last six meetings, AO Trikala 1963 won one, Pierikos FC won four and one was drawn.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: AO Trikala 1963 1-1 Pierikos FC (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AO Trikala 1963 the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).