THE READ
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Mara Sugar FC are 11th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with Shabana, 1 point clear of Mathare United. A win would take them above Shabana. Migori Youth FC are 8th on 6 points after 4 games, level on points with Tusker, level on points with APS Bomet. A win would take them above Tusker.
Form. Mara Sugar FC have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D W D. Migori Youth FC have won one, drawn three and lost none of their last four league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W D D D.
The numbers. Mara Sugar FC score 0.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Mara Sugar FC average 9.9 shots (3.0 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Migori Youth FC score one and concede 0.5 a game over their last four, with two clean sheets. Migori Youth FC average 9.6 shots (3.5 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings Mara Sugar FC have won two, drawn two and lost two. Two of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Mara Sugar FC won one, two were drawn and Migori Youth FC won one. The last time they met, on 24 Apr 2024, it finished Mara Sugar FC 1-0 Migori Youth FC.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 27%. Four of the last six meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, rated 93% (Mara Sugar FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; Migori Youth FC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.12. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Mara Sugar FC 0-0 Migori Youth FC (21% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Migori Youth FC the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. Mara Sugar FC: no win in their last three league games (L D D W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Mara Sugar FC (2:0 handicap)IN CODES
1.09
MAR 5 of 5 (100%) · MIG 9 of 10 (90%)95%
Mara Sugar FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 6 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Migori Youth FC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.16
MIG 10 of 10 (100%) · MAR 4 of 5 (80%)70.3%
Migori Youth FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Migori Youth FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.31
MIG 5 of 5 (100%) · MAR 7 of 8 (88%)69.5%
Migori Youth FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Mara Sugar FC or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 86%
1.16
MAR 5 of 5 (100%) · MIG 8 of 10 (80%)65.3%
Mara Sugar FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Migori Youth FCIN CODES
1.45
MIG 9 of 10 (90%) · MAR 3 of 5 (60%)57.4%
Migori Youth FC unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.33
MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · MIG 8 of 10 (80%)56.2%
Mara Sugar FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Migori Youth FC or draw and under 3.5 goalsIN CODES
1.51
MAR 3 of 5 (60%) · MIG 9 of 10 (90%)53.6%
Mara Sugar FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Migori Youth FC (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
2.00
MIG 5 of 6 (83%) · MAR 4 of 6 (67%)53.4%
Migori Youth FC won 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Mara Sugar FC lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 75% · H2H 2 of 4 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level · won 2, refunded 4, lost 3
Mara Sugar FC or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 78%
1.28
MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · MIG 5 of 8 (62%)50.3%
Mara Sugar FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Migori Youth FC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Migori Youth FC or draw and under 2.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 53%
1.89
MAR 3 of 5 (60%) · MIG 7 of 10 (70%)32.8%
Mara Sugar FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
GOALS
no price yet
MAR 5 of 5 (100%) · MIG 10 of 10 (100%)97%
Mara Sugar FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · H2H 6 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.12
MAR 5 of 5 (100%) · MIG 10 of 10 (100%)94.3%
Mara Sugar FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsFULL COVERLEANHELD · the odds board 89%
1.12
MAR 3 of 5 (60%) · MIG 9 of 10 (90%)60.3%
Mara Sugar FC: over 0.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
1.42
MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · MIG 8 of 10 (80%)54.9%
Mara Sugar FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC: under 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
MARA SUGAR FC GOALS
Mara Sugar FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.28
MAR 4 of 5 (80%) · MIG 10 of 10 (100%)70.3%
Mara Sugar FC scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Migori Youth FC conceded under 1.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
MIGORI YOUTH FC GOALS
Migori Youth FC Under 1.5 goalsIN CODES
1.27
MIG 7 of 10 (70%) · MAR 5 of 5 (100%)61.6%
Migori Youth FC scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 5 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Migori Youth FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 66%
1.52
MIG 8 of 10 (80%) · MAR 2 of 5 (40%)42%
Migori Youth FC scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Mara Sugar FC conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 3 of 6 · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
CORNERS
Over 3.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MAR 8 of 8 (100%) · MIG 6 of 8 (75%)87.5%
Mara Sugar FC's games: over 3.5 corners in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Migori Youth FC's games: over 3.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Mara Sugar FC: only games against sides at Migori Youth FC's level
Left off the list: Over 1.5 Cards (the numbers (59%) and the records (81%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)