THE READ
Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 6. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Mombasa United FC are 18th on 1 point after 5 games, 3 points behind Posta Rangers FC. A win would take them level on points with Posta Rangers FC. Shabana FC are 10th on 6 points after 5 games, level on points with APS Bomet, level on points with Mara Sugar. A win would take them above APS Bomet.
Form. Mombasa United FC have won none, drawn one and lost four of their last five league games, 0.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D L L. Shabana FC have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D D W.
The numbers. Mombasa United FC score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last five, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Mombasa United FC average 8.5 shots (1.8 on target), 3.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Shabana FC score 0.6 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Shabana FC average 9.7 shots (2.5 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Head to head. Shabana FC have won all of the last four meetings. One of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 20 Apr 2023, it finished Mombasa United FC 1-3 Shabana FC.
The case against. Mombasa United FC's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. Shabana FC to win. A tight game. Shabana FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shabana FC; the meetings favour Shabana FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 23%. Three of the last four meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.16, rated 78% (Mombasa United FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; Shabana FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 0.5 Goals at 1.11. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Mombasa United FC 0-1 Shabana FC (9% chance).
The agreed story. Shabana FC or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. Mombasa United FC: no win in their last three league games (L D L L L).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Shabana FC or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.26
SHA 4 of 5 (80%) · MOM 4 of 5 (80%)82.9%
Shabana FC scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC trailed or failed to win in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
Mombasa United FC (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.13
MOM 5 of 7 (71%) · SHA 5 of 5 (100%)69%
Mombasa United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 86% · H2H 1 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Shabana FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.33
SHA 4 of 5 (80%) · MOM 5 of 7 (71%)65.3%
Shabana FC unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC failed to win 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · H2H 4 of 4 · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level
Shabana FC or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
SHA 5 of 5 (100%) · MOM 6 of 7 (86%)63.1%
Shabana FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · H2H 4 of 4 · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
MOM 4 of 7 (57%) · SHA 5 of 5 (100%)53.2%
Mombasa United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
Shabana FC or draw and under 3.5 goalsSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
1.51
MOM 4 of 7 (57%) · SHA 4 of 5 (80%)51.7%
Mombasa United FC: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Shabana FC: in the last 4 meetings, Shabana FC won 4; in the last 4, Shabana FC won 4
Shabana FC win or both teams scoreLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
SHA 3 of 5 (60%) · MOM 5 of 7 (71%)51.2%
Shabana FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 4 of 4 · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level
Shabana FC 1UPSETTLEDHELD · the odds board 56%
1.79
SHA 2 of 5 (40%) · MOM 2 of 5 (40%)32.5%
Shabana FC scored first 2 of last 5, led in 2 · led in 2 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC trailed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Shabana FC: in the last 4 meetings, Shabana FC won 4; in the last 4, Shabana FC won 4
1X2 - 2UP: Shabana FCSETTLEDPAGE ONLY
2.30
SHA 2 of 5 (40%) · MOM 2 of 5 (40%)32.5%
Shabana FC scored first 2 of last 5, led by 2 or won in 2 · led by 2 or won in 2 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC trailed by 2 or lost in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · rule 2: the meetings back Shabana FC: in the last 4 meetings, Shabana FC won 4; in the last 4, Shabana FC won 4
GOALS
no price yet
MOM 7 of 7 (100%) · SHA 5 of 5 (100%)97%
Mombasa United FC: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · H2H 4 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.13
MOM 6 of 7 (86%) · SHA 5 of 5 (100%)79.5%
Mombasa United FC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
Over 0.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES
1.12
MOM 6 of 7 (86%) · SHA 4 of 5 (80%)72.4%
Mombasa United FC: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · H2H 4 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.47
MOM 4 of 7 (57%) · SHA 5 of 5 (100%)41.3%
Mombasa United FC: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · H2H 3 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - NoLEANHELD · the odds board 62%
1.62
MOM 4 of 7 (57%) · SHA 4 of 5 (80%)36.3%
Mombasa United FC: not both scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC: not both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · H2H 3 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
MOMBASA UNITED FC GOALS
Mombasa United FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
MOM 5 of 7 (71%) · SHA 5 of 5 (100%)65.1%
Mombasa United FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 81% · H2H 4 of 4 · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
SHABANA FC GOALS
Shabana FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.38
SHA 5 of 5 (100%) · MOM 4 of 7 (57%)50.8%
Shabana FC scored under 1.5 in 5 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · H2H 1 of 4 · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level
Shabana FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 72%
1.39
SHA 3 of 5 (60%) · MOM 5 of 7 (71%)49.7%
Shabana FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Mombasa United FC conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · H2H 4 of 4 · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level
CARDS
no price yet
MOM 4 of 5 (80%) · SHA 3 of 5 (60%)73.3%
Mombasa United FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Shabana FC's games: over 1.5 cards in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Mombasa United FC: only games against sides at Shabana FC's level · Shabana FC: only games against sides at Mombasa United FC's level
Left off the list: Over 7.5 Corners (the numbers (55%) and the records (78%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)