AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
· main loses on: 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, 4-0, 0-4, 3-2, 2-3, 4-1, 1-4, 5-0, 0-5, 3-3 and 99 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Liga de Ascenso, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. AD Cariari Pococi are 5th on 22 points after 14 games, 1 point behind Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC, 1 point clear of Municipal Grecia. A win would take them above Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC. Municipal Grecia are 6th on 21 points after 12 games, 1 point behind Cariari Pococi, level on points with Guadalupe FC. A win would take them above Cariari Pococi. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. AD Cariari Pococi have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.4 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W L. In this competition AD Cariari Pococi have gone W W L W L L. Municipal Grecia have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L D W. In this competition Municipal Grecia have gone W W L D W L.
The numbers. AD Cariari Pococi score 1.6 and concede 0.9 a game in their last seven at home, with two clean sheets. AD Cariari Pococi average 5.7 corners and 2.2 cards a game. Municipal Grecia score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Municipal Grecia average 3.6 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 46%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, rated 75% (AD Cariari Pococi: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home; Municipal Grecia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). The safer one: AD Cariari Pococi Under 2.5 Goals at 1.14 (83%). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.37. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: AD Cariari Pococi 1-1 Municipal Grecia (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (AD Cariari Pococi the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. AD Cariari Pococi: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L L D). Municipal Grecia: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AD Cariari Pococi or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.26
ADC 7 of 7 (100%) · MUN 4 of 5 (80%)65.3%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
AD Cariari Pococi or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
ADC 6 of 7 (86%) · MUN 4 of 5 (80%)63.9%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
AD Cariari Pococi or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
ADC 5 of 7 (71%) · MUN 4 of 5 (80%)50.8%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 5 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 55% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.43
ADC 6 of 7 (86%) · MUN 3 of 5 (60%)50.6%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
AD Cariari Pococi or draw and under 3.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.59
ADC 6 of 7 (86%) · MUN 3 of 5 (60%)47.2%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 50% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
Municipal Grecia or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 75%
1.34
MUN 4 of 5 (80%) · ADC 4 of 7 (57%)46.8%
Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 4 of 7 at home · both last 10: 75% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADC 7 of 7 (100%) · MUN 5 of 5 (100%)96.5%
AD Cariari Pococi: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.25
ADC 7 of 7 (100%) · MUN 4 of 5 (80%)75.7%
AD Cariari Pococi: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
ADC 6 of 7 (86%) · MUN 3 of 5 (60%)51.6%
AD Cariari Pococi: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 60%
1.66
ADC 3 of 7 (43%) · MUN 3 of 5 (60%)40.2%
AD Cariari Pococi: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
AD CARIARI POCOCI GOALS
AD Cariari Pococi Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.15
ADC 6 of 7 (86%) · MUN 4 of 5 (80%)84.2%
AD Cariari Pococi scored under 2.5 in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
AD Cariari Pococi Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 79%
1.27
ADC 7 of 7 (100%) · MUN 4 of 5 (80%)57.5%
AD Cariari Pococi scored in 7 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
MUNICIPAL GRECIA GOALS
Municipal Grecia Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%
1.31
MUN 3 of 5 (60%) · ADC 6 of 7 (86%)50.4%
Municipal Grecia scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · AD Cariari Pococi conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 7 at home · both last 10: 75% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
Municipal Grecia Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
MUN 2 of 5 (40%) · ADC 5 of 7 (71%)50%
Municipal Grecia scored in 2 of 5 away · AD Cariari Pococi conceded in 5 of 7 at home · both last 10: 75% · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADC 7 of 7 (100%) · MUN 5 of 5 (100%)97%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 7 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · on half-time scores · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADC 6 of 7 (86%) · MUN 5 of 5 (100%)92.9%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ADC 6 of 7 (86%) · MUN 4 of 5 (80%)78.6%
AD Cariari Pococi: the bet landed in 6 of 7 at home · Municipal Grecia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · AD Cariari Pococi: only games against sides at Municipal Grecia's level · Municipal Grecia: only games against sides at AD Cariari Pococi's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.3%
AD Cariari Pococi goals →
Municipal Grecia goals ↓
0-09%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.6%
1-40.8%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
AD CARIARI POCOCIDLWDLLWLWW1.40 PPG
MUNICIPAL GRECIALWDDLWDLWW1.50 PPG
THE NUMBERS
AD CARIARI POCOCI HOMExMUNICIPAL GRECIA AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME1.100.90CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS30%21%FAILED TO SCORE25%5.67CORNERS A GAME3.562.17CARDS A GAME2.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.11POINTS A GAME1.50+0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00-4.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.01.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.09LEAGUE GAMES10
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
37%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
AD CARIARI POCOCI OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
MUNICIPAL GRECIA OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
AD CARIARI POCOCIxMUNICIPAL GRECIA
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.403.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
AD Cariari Pococi have scored in 70% of their games.
Municipal Grecia have scored in 70% of their games.
AD Cariari Pococi kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Municipal Grecia kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards