Match details. Promotion League. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Bavois have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. FC Paradiso have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W.
The numbers. FC Bavois score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Bavois average 4.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Paradiso score 2.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. FC Paradiso average 5.1 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 51% against the records' 77%. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. No firm call: FC Paradiso are the better side, but not at this price. FC Paradiso are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Paradiso.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Leave: FC Paradiso or Over 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); FC Paradiso Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: FC Bavois 1-1 FC Paradiso (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Paradiso or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCB 5 of 5 (100%) · FCP 9 of 10 (90%)92.5%
FC Paradiso: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · FC Bavois: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC Paradiso win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.15
FCB 5 of 5 (100%) · FCP 8 of 10 (80%)87.8%
FC Paradiso: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · FC Bavois: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC Paradiso or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCB 4 of 5 (80%) · FCP 6 of 7 (86%)87.6%
FC Paradiso scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Bavois trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
FC Paradiso or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.29
FCB 4 of 5 (80%) · FCP 9 of 10 (90%)86%
FC Paradiso: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · FC Bavois: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC Bavois or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCB 7 of 10 (70%) · FCP 5 of 5 (100%)83.1%
FC Bavois: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Paradiso: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC Paradiso 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCB 3 of 5 (60%) · FCP 5 of 7 (71%)77.3%
FC Paradiso scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Bavois trailed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · each game weighed by who it was against
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
FCB 6 of 10 (60%) · FCP 4 of 5 (80%)68.2%
FC Bavois: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Paradiso: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC Paradiso (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.49
FCB 6 of 7 (86%) · FCP 8 of 9 (89%)59.1%
FC Paradiso won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · FC Bavois lost 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 87% · each game weighed by who it was against · won 6, refunded 2, lost 1
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCB 10 of 10 (100%) · FCP 4 of 5 (80%)95.2%
FC Bavois: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Paradiso: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · each game weighed by who it was against
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.20
FCB 9 of 10 (90%) · FCP 4 of 5 (80%)88%
FC Bavois: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Paradiso: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · each game weighed by who it was against
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.17
FCB 7 of 10 (70%) · FCP 5 of 5 (100%)73.6%
FC Bavois: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Paradiso: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 74% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC BAVOIS GOALS
FC Bavois Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.50
FCB 8 of 10 (80%) · FCP 3 of 5 (60%)68%
FC Bavois scored under 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Paradiso conceded under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 76% · each game weighed by who it was against
FC PARADISO GOALS
FC Paradiso Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCB 5 of 5 (100%) · FCP 8 of 10 (80%)76.1%
FC Paradiso scored in 5 of 5 away · FC Bavois conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · each game weighed by who it was against
Left off the list: FC Paradiso or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (66%) and the records (91%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); FC Paradiso Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (33%) and the records (66%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–113.2%
FC Bavois goals →
FC Paradiso goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-113%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-28%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-42%
2-40.9%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.4%
2-50.3%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
FC BAVOISLLLLLLLWLD0.40 PPG
FC PARADISODWDDWWLWWW2.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
FC BAVOIS HOMExFC PARADISO AWAY
0.92SCORED A GAME1.931.46CONCEDED A GAME1.0740%BOTH SCORED60%20%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.50CORNERS A GAME5.092.00CARDS A GAME1.73
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.89POINTS A GAME1.75-0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.92–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.40.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.69LEAGUE GAMES12
FC Paradiso: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
FC PARADISO 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
97%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
FC BAVOIS OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
FC PARADISO OR DRAW
90%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
FC BAVOISxFC PARADISO
5GAMES61.00SCORED A GAME2.671.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.760%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS67%20%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
FC Bavois have scored in 50% of their games.
FC Paradiso have scored in 90% of their games.
FC Bavois kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
FC Paradiso kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards