FC Spartak Trnava vs MFK Ruzomberok
Match details. 1. League Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Spartak Trnava have won four, drawn one and lost five of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L W. MFK Ruzomberok have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. FC Spartak Trnava score 1.8 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. FC Spartak Trnava average 2.6 corners and 0.4 cards a game. MFK Ruzomberok score 1.2 and concede 4.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. MFK Ruzomberok average 2.3 corners and 0.7 cards a game.
The case against. MFK Ruzomberok's record still gives them 35% to win.
The read. FC Spartak Trnava to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Spartak Trnava the likelier winners; both teams' records favour FC Spartak Trnava. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: FC Spartak Trnava 2-1 MFK Ruzomberok (7% chance).
The agreed story. FC Spartak Trnava or the draw, an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).