Wellington United Diamonds vs Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC
Match details. National League, Women. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. Wellington United Diamonds have won nine, drawn none and lost one of their last ten, 2.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W L. Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W.
The numbers. Wellington United Diamonds score three and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with three clean sheets. Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC score 2.9 and concede 0.4 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC the likelier winners, but Wellington United Diamonds are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wellington United Diamonds.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.40, rated 71% (Wellington United Diamonds: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6 at home; Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 10). Full cover: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.29. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Wellington United Diamonds 1-2 Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Eastern Suburbs Auckland AFC the favourite), an open game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).