KF Teuta: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · KF Tirana: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 6 · KF Teuta: only games against sides at KF Tirana's level · KF Tirana: only games against sides at KF Teuta's level
Match details. Kategoria Superiore, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena Kombetare, Tirana.
What's at stake. KF Tirana are 5th on 12 points after 10 games, 2 points behind AF Elbasani, level on points with Vora. A win would take them above AF Elbasani. KF Teuta are 2nd on 20 points after 10 games, 4 points behind Egnatia Rrogozhinë, 3 points clear of Dinamo Tirana.
Form. KF Tirana have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L W W. In this competition KF Tirana have gone L D L W W D. KF Teuta have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L D W W. In this competition KF Teuta have gone L L D W W W.
The numbers. KF Tirana score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. KF Tirana average 3.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. KF Teuta score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. KF Teuta average 4.6 corners and 3.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings KF Tirana have won one, drawn three and lost six. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, KF Tirana won one, one was drawn and KF Teuta won two. The last time they met, on 30 Aug 2026, it finished KF Tirana 1-3 KF Teuta.
The case against. KF Tirana's record still gives them 25% to win.
The read. KF Teuta to win. A tight game. KF Teuta are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Teuta; the meetings favour KF Teuta. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, rated 76% (KF Tirana: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home; KF Teuta: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). The safer one: KF Teuta Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10 (87%). Predicted score: KF Tirana 0-1 KF Teuta (10% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (KF Teuta the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. KF Tirana: one defeat in their last five league games (L D W W D). KF Teuta: lost their last two league games (L L D W W). Not confident in KF Teuta: they lost their last two league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).