EDGE PICKKF Laci or Over 2.5 Goals · 55.3% · @1.44
Book 69% · Us 55%-14price too short
Backed by
KF Laci: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
· main loses on: 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, 4-0, 0-4, 3-2, 2-3, 4-1, 1-4, 5-0, 0-5, 3-3 and 99 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them
THE READ
Match details. Kategoria Superiore. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 13:30 Lagos time.
Form. KF Laci have won three, drawn one and lost five of their last nine league games, 1.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D W L L. Partizani Tirana have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. KF Laci score one and concede 1.4 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. KF Laci average 4.7 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Partizani Tirana score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Partizani Tirana average 5.2 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The case against. Partizani Tirana's record still gives them 44% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 61%.
The read. KF Laci to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make KF Laci the likelier winners; KF Laci are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KF Laci. Their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.22, rated 73% (KF Laci: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9; Partizani Tirana: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). The safer one: Partizani Tirana (0:2 handicap) at 1.21 (81%). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.38. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: KF Laci 1-0 Partizani Tirana (11% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (KF Laci the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. KF Laci: up and down in the league (L D W L L). Partizani Tirana: up and down in the league (W L L L L). Not confident in KF Laci: two defeats in their last five league games to sides outside the top third.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Partizani Tirana (0:2 handicap)SAFERLEANIN CODES
1.21
PAR 4 of 5 (80%) · KFL 8 of 9 (89%)81.1%
Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · KF Laci: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level
KF Laci or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.24
KFL 7 of 9 (78%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)60.9%
KF Laci: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
KF Laci or Under 2.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
KFL 6 of 9 (67%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)57%
KF Laci: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 78% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
KF Laci or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.44
KFL 6 of 9 (67%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)55.3%
KF Laci: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 73% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.45
KFL 5 of 9 (56%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)49.8%
KF Laci: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
KF Laci (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.49
KFL 3 of 8 (38%) · PAR 3 of 5 (60%)47.7%
KF Laci won 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Partizani Tirana lost 3 of 5 away (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 4
KF Laci to WinLEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
KFL 3 of 9 (33%) · PAR 3 of 5 (60%)34%
KF Laci won 3 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana lost 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 52% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
KFL 9 of 9 (100%) · PAR 5 of 5 (100%)97%
KF Laci: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.27
KFL 7 of 9 (78%) · PAR 3 of 5 (60%)78.2%
KF Laci: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 69% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
Over 1.5 GoalsFULL COVERLEANIN CODES
1.38
KFL 7 of 9 (78%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)61.3%
KF Laci: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
KF LACI GOALS
KF Laci Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.16
KFL 9 of 9 (100%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)84.4%
KF Laci scored under 2.5 in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
KF Laci Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.25
KFL 7 of 9 (78%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)61%
KF Laci scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
PARTIZANI TIRANA GOALS
Partizani Tirana Under 1.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
PAR 4 of 5 (80%) · KFL 5 of 9 (56%)53.3%
Partizani Tirana scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · KF Laci conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.32
KFL 6 of 9 (67%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%
KF Laci: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 68% · on half-time scores · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
KFL 5 of 9 (56%) · PAR 4 of 5 (80%)66.1%
KF Laci: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Partizani Tirana: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 63% · on half-time scores · KF Laci: only games against sides at Partizani Tirana's level · Partizani Tirana: only games against sides at KF Laci's level
Left off the list: KF Laci or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (79%) and the records (56%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); KF Laci or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (54%) and the records (44%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Partizani Tirana or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (60%) and the records (80%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it); Partizani Tirana win or both teams score (the numbers (65%) and the records (86%) are 20 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.6%
KF Laci goals →
Partizani Tirana goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
KF LACILDWLLWLWLW1.30 PPG
PARTIZANI TIRANAWLLLLLLWLD0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
KF LACI HOMExPARTIZANI TIRANA AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.101.40CONCEDED A GAME2.1020%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.67CORNERS A GAME5.222.00CARDS A GAME2.22
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.11POINTS A GAME0.67-0.44GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.11+2.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.80.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.69LEAGUE GAMES9
KF Laci: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
84%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
KF LACI OR DRAW
54%
NO · 80/85
PARTIZANI TIRANA OR DRAW
44%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
KF LACIxPARTIZANI TIRANA
5GAMES50.60SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME2.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.060%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
KF Laci have scored in 80% of their games.
Partizani Tirana have scored in 80% of their games.
KF Laci kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Partizani Tirana kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards