Match details. Girabola, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Atletico Petroleos de Luanda are 2nd on 19 points after 9 games, 4 points behind Wiliete, level on points with Bravos do Maquis FC. 1º de Maio de Benguela are 10th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with São Salvador, 1 point clear of Recreativo da Caála. A win would take them above São Salvador.
Form. Atletico Petroleos de Luanda have won three, drawn three and lost none of their last six league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W D D W D. 1º de Maio de Benguela have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L D W.
The numbers. Atletico Petroleos de Luanda score 1.3 and concede 0.3 a game over their last six, with four clean sheets. Atletico Petroleos de Luanda average 9.2 shots (2.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. 1º de Maio de Benguela score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. 1º de Maio de Benguela average 11.7 shots (4.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Atletico Petroleos de Luanda have won four, drawn two and lost one. Four of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Atletico Petroleos de Luanda won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 16 May 2026, it finished Atletico Petroleos de Luanda 0-0 1º de Maio de Benguela.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 82% against the records' 52%.
The read. No firm call: Atletico Petroleos de Luanda are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Atletico Petroleos de Luanda the likelier winners; Atletico Petroleos de Luanda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Atletico Petroleos de Luanda. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.32, rated 90% (Atletico Petroleos de Luanda: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 6; 1º de Maio de Benguela: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Full cover: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.27. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Atletico Petroleos de Luanda 1-0 1º de Maio de Benguela (12% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Atletico Petroleos de Luanda the favourite), a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).