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SPAIN - COPA DEL REY
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron crestCTCFT
20:00Tue 10 Nov
LEGLeganes crestLEG

CF Trival Valderas Alcoron vs Leganes

CLASS A
THE READ

Match details. Copa del Rey. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.

Form. CF Trival Valderas Alcoron have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L W. Leganes have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L L.

The numbers. CF Trival Valderas Alcoron score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CF Trival Valderas Alcoron average 10.0 shots (4.6 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.2 cards a game. Leganes score 0.6 and concede 2.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and four games without a goal. Leganes average 11.4 shots (4.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 3.6 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 6% against the records' 55%.

The read. No firm call: CF Trival Valderas Alcoron are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make CF Trival Valderas Alcoron the likelier winners; CF Trival Valderas Alcoron are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Trival Valderas Alcoron. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 63%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CF Trival Valderas Alcoron 2-1 Leganes (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 5 of 5 (100%)100%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
Leganes or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 4 of 5 (80%) · LEG 5 of 5 (100%)88.3%
Leganes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)85%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)85%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron or Draw & Over 1.5PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 3 of 5 (60%) · LEG 5 of 5 (100%)80%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Leganes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron 1UPPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 4 of 5 (80%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)80%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron scored first 2 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 4 of 5 at home · Leganes trailed in 4 of 5 away
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 4 of 5 (80%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)75%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Leganes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
Leganes or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 3 of 5 (60%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)68.3%
Leganes: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 3 of 5 (60%) · LEG 6 of 8 (75%)67.5%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron won 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Leganes lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · won 6, refunded 4, lost 0
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)91.7%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)90%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)90%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
CF TRIVAL VALDERAS ALCORON GOALS
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)85%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron scored in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 4 of 5 (80%) · LEG 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron scored over 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Leganes conceded over 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60%
CORNERS
Over 7.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 5 of 5 (100%) · LEG 3 of 5 (60%)78%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron's games: over 7.5 corners in 5 of 5 at home · Leganes's games: over 7.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 74%
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CFT 4 of 5 (80%) · LEG 5 of 5 (100%)88%
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 at home · Leganes's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 84%
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–1 9.9%
CF Trival Valderas… goals →
Leganes goals ↓
0-04%
1-08%
2-09%
3-07%
4-04%
5-02%
0-14%
1-110%
2-110%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-22%
1-25%
2-25%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.9%
0-30.8%
1-32%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.7%
5-30.3%
0-40.2%
1-40.5%
2-40.5%
3-40.4%
4-40.2%
5-40.1%
0-50.0%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
CF TRIVAL VALDERAS ALCORONLWDDWWLDDD1.40 PPG
LEGANESWDLWLLLLDL0.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CF TRIVAL VALDERAS ALCORON HOMExLEGANES AWAY
1.40SCORED A GAME0.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.9010%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.903.22CARDS A GAME3.60
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron have scored in 70% of their games.
Leganes have scored in 40% of their games.
CF Trival Valderas Alcoron kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Leganes kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
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