ITALY - SERIE D, GROUP D
14:30Sun 8 Nov
PAV
PC
Cittadella Vis Modena vs Pavia Calcio 1911
CLASS E
THE READ
Match details. Serie D, Group D. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 14:30 Lagos time.
Form. Cittadella Vis Modena have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D L L. Pavia Calcio 1911 have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D L.
The numbers. Cittadella Vis Modena score 0.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Cittadella Vis Modena average 6.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Pavia Calcio 1911 score 0.9 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. Pavia Calcio 1911 average 6.6 shots (2.8 on target), 4.8 corners and 3.8 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Cittadella Vis Modena 1-1 Pavia Calcio 1911 (14% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Cittadella Vis Modena or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 5 of 5 (100%) · PAV 7 of 9 (78%)87%
Cittadella Vis Modena: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
Pavia Calcio 1911 or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 7 of 9 (78%) · PAV 4 of 5 (80%)78.5%
Pavia Calcio 1911: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Cittadella Vis Modena: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · PAV 7 of 9 (78%)76.7%
Cittadella Vis Modena: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
Pavia Calcio 1911 or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · PAV 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%
Pavia Calcio 1911 scored first 1 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cittadella Vis Modena trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level
Cittadella Vis Modena or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 3 of 5 (60%) · PAV 3 of 5 (60%)66.7%
Cittadella Vis Modena scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 3 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911 trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 5 of 5 (100%) · PAV 9 of 9 (100%)96.2%
Cittadella Vis Modena: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · PAV 6 of 9 (67%)90.7%
Cittadella Vis Modena: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 5 of 5 (100%) · PAV 9 of 9 (100%)89.8%
Cittadella Vis Modena: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CIT 5 of 5 (100%) · PAV 7 of 9 (78%)76.9%
Cittadella Vis Modena: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
CIT 4 of 5 (80%) · PAV 6 of 9 (67%)55.8%
Cittadella Vis Modena: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Pavia Calcio 1911: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · Cittadella Vis Modena: only games against sides at Pavia Calcio 1911's level · Pavia Calcio 1911: only games against sides at Cittadella Vis Modena's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.6%
Cittadella Vis Modena goals →
Pavia Calcio 1911 goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-08%
3-04%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-19%
1-114%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-25%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CITTADELLA VIS MODENALWDLLWLWDW1.40 PPG
PAVIA CALCIO 1911DDDDLLDLWW1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CITTADELLA VIS MODENA HOMExPAVIA CALCIO 1911 AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME0.900.80CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%BOTH SCORED0%50%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.00CORNERS A GAME4.801.80CARDS A GAME3.40
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
NO PRICE YET
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.38POINTS A GAME1.00+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.14–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.21.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.08LEAGUE GAMES7
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
31%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CITTADELLA VIS MODENA OR DRAW
82%
OKAY · 80/85
PAVIA CALCIO 1911 OR DRAW
35%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CITTADELLA VIS MODENAxPAVIA CALCIO 1911
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.000.80CONCEDED A GAME1.201.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Cittadella Vis Modena have scored in 50% of their games.
Pavia Calcio 1911 have scored in 60% of their games.
Cittadella Vis Modena kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
Pavia Calcio 1911 kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards