PORTUGAL - LIGA PORTUGAL 2
12:00Sun 8 Nov
LUS
LF
CD Feirense vs Lusitania FC Lourosa
CLASS E
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78
TOTAL GOALS
Class E
Under 3.5 Goals
CD Feirense v Lusitania FC Lourosa
1.25odds
80%book
-2edge
2/2angles
EDGE PICKLusitania FC Lourosa or Over 2.5 Goals · 52.4% · @1.54
Book 65% · Us 52% -13 price too short
Backed by
· main loses on: 2-2, 3-1, 1-3, 4-0, 0-4, 3-2, 2-3, 4-1, 1-4, 5-0, 0-5, 3-3 and 99 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of themLusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Feirense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
THE READ
Match details. Liga Portugal 2. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Feirense have won none, drawn two and lost seven of their last nine league games, 0.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D L L L. Lusitania FC Lourosa have won four, drawn four and lost none of their last eight league games, 2.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D D W W.
The numbers. CD Feirense score 0.2 and concede 1.2 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets and seven games without a goal. CD Feirense average 10.3 shots (2.7 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Lusitania FC Lourosa score 1.6 and concede one a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets. Lusitania FC Lourosa average 12.2 shots (4.6 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 41% against the records' 64%.
The read. No firm call: Lusitania FC Lourosa are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Lusitania FC Lourosa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Lusitania FC Lourosa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 36%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.23, rated 76% (CD Feirense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9; Lusitania FC Lourosa: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). The safer one: Lusitania FC Lourosa Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10 (85%). Full cover: Lusitania FC Lourosa or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.54. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: CD Feirense 1-1 Lusitania FC Lourosa (14% chance).
The agreed story. Lusitania FC Lourosa or the draw, a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. CD Feirense: no win in their last three league games (L D L L L). Lusitania FC Lourosa: unbeaten in their last five league games but drawing, the last three all draws (D D D W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Feirense (2:0 handicap)IN CODES
1.14
CDF 7 of 9 (78%) · LUS 7 of 8 (88%)82.6%
CD Feirense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.23
LUS 6 of 8 (75%) · CDF 9 of 9 (100%)74%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Feirense: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.31
LUS 8 of 8 (100%) · CDF 7 of 9 (78%)70.9%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Feirense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.48
CDF 7 of 9 (78%) · LUS 6 of 8 (75%)56.1%
CD Feirense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.76
LUS 6 of 6 (100%) · CDF 7 of 7 (100%)56.1%
Lusitania FC Lourosa won 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CD Feirense lost 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 100% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · won 6, refunded 3, lost 0
Lusitania FC Lourosa or Over 2.5 GoalsFULL COVERPAGE ONLY
1.54
LUS 6 of 8 (75%) · CDF 7 of 9 (78%)52.4%
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Feirense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDF 9 of 9 (100%) · LUS 8 of 8 (100%)97%
CD Feirense: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDF 9 of 9 (100%) · LUS 8 of 8 (100%)96.3%
CD Feirense: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.25
CDF 8 of 9 (89%) · LUS 6 of 8 (75%)78%
CD Feirense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDF 7 of 9 (78%) · LUS 8 of 8 (100%)73%
CD Feirense: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.64
CDF 7 of 9 (78%) · LUS 4 of 8 (50%)47.2%
CD Feirense: under 2.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
CD FEIRENSE GOALS
CD Feirense Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.39
CDF 9 of 9 (100%) · LUS 6 of 8 (75%)69.9%
CD Feirense scored under 1.5 in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa conceded under 1.5 in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
LUSITANIA FC LOUROSA GOALS
Lusitania FC Lourosa Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.11
LUS 8 of 8 (100%) · CDF 8 of 9 (89%)86.9%
Lusitania FC Lourosa scored under 2.5 in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Feirense conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
Lusitania FC Lourosa Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
LUS 8 of 8 (100%) · CDF 7 of 9 (78%)55.7%
Lusitania FC Lourosa scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Feirense conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level
HALVES
Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.32
CDF 9 of 9 (100%) · LUS 4 of 8 (50%)77%
CD Feirense: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.47
CDF 4 of 9 (44%) · LUS 8 of 8 (100%)69%
CD Feirense: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · on half-time scores · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
CORNERS
Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDF 7 of 9 (78%) · LUS 7 of 8 (88%)82.6%
CD Feirense's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDF 7 of 9 (78%) · LUS 8 of 8 (100%)88.9%
CD Feirense's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Lusitania FC Lourosa's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Feirense: only games against sides at Lusitania FC Lourosa's level · Lusitania FC Lourosa: only games against sides at CD Feirense's level
Left off the list: Lusitania FC Lourosa 1UP (the numbers (56%) and the records (82%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it); Lusitania FC Lourosa or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (73%) and the records (100%) are 27 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.5%
CD Feirense goals →
Lusitania FC Lourosa goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-110%
1-114%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.8%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.5%
5-20.1%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.8%
4-30.2%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD FEIRENSEDLLLLLLLDL0.20 PPG
LUSITANIA FC LOUROSAWDWWWWDWDD2.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD FEIRENSE HOMExLUSITANIA FC LOUROSA AWAY
0.20SCORED A GAME1.801.20CONCEDED A GAME1.0020%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.10CORNERS A GAME4.002.30CARDS A GAME2.56
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
CD FEIRENSE 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.22POINTS A GAME2.25-1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.88-2.6SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.20.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES8
Lusitania FC Lourosa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
LUSITANIA FC LOUROSA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
59%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
24%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD FEIRENSE OR DRAW
37%
NO · 80/85
LUSITANIA FC LOUROSA OR DRAW
91%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD FEIRENSExLUSITANIA FC LOUROSA
5GAMES50.40SCORED A GAME1.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.201.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.840%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE100%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.211.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Feirense have scored in 20% of their games.
Lusitania FC Lourosa have scored in 100% of their games.
CD Feirense kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Lusitania FC Lourosa kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards