SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
12:00Sun 8 Nov
UDT
UT
CD Estepona vs UD Tamaraceite
CLASS E
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Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 12:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Estepona have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D W W. UD Tamaraceite have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. CD Estepona score two and concede 1.7 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. CD Estepona average 12.2 shots (4.8 on target), 5.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game. UD Tamaraceite score one and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and four games without a goal. UD Tamaraceite average 6.3 shots (1.3 on target), 4.7 corners and 4.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%.
The case against. UD Tamaraceite's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CD Estepona to win. Their goals for and against make CD Estepona the likelier winners; CD Estepona are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Estepona.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CD Estepona 1-0 UD Tamaraceite (11% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (CD Estepona the favourite), goals in between.
The league run. CD Estepona: no win in their last three league games (L D D W W). UD Tamaraceite: lost their last two league games (L L W L W). Not confident in CD Estepona: no win in their last three league games.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Tamaraceite (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 6 of 9 (67%) · CDE 4 of 5 (80%)73%
UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estepona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 72% · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level
CD Estepona or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 8 of 9 (89%)65.5%
CD Estepona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
CD Estepona or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 8 of 9 (89%)62.8%
CD Estepona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
CD Estepona or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 3 of 5 (60%) · UDT 8 of 9 (89%)55.7%
CD Estepona: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 5 of 5 (100%) · UDT 4 of 9 (44%)51%
CD Estepona: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
CD Estepona (Draw No Bet)LEANHELD · the odds board 88%
1.14
CDE 3 of 6 (50%) · UDT 7 of 9 (78%)50.7%
CD Estepona won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · UD Tamaraceite lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 64% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
UD Tamaraceite or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 9 (56%) · CDE 4 of 5 (80%)47.6%
UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estepona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 61% · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level
CD Estepona to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 71%
1.41
CDE 2 of 5 (40%) · UDT 7 of 9 (78%)40.5%
CD Estepona won 2 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite lost 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 9 of 9 (100%)92.3%
CD Estepona: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 3 of 5 (60%) · UDT 7 of 9 (78%)80.9%
CD Estepona: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 4 of 9 (44%)46.3%
CD Estepona: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 61% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 4 of 9 (44%)34%
CD Estepona: both scored in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
CD ESTEPONA GOALS
CD Estepona Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 8 of 9 (89%)62.4%
CD Estepona scored in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite conceded in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
UD TAMARACEITE GOALS
UD Tamaraceite Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDT 5 of 9 (56%) · CDE 4 of 5 (80%)46%
UD Tamaraceite scored in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Estepona conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 61% · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 8 of 9 (89%)85.9%
CD Estepona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDE 4 of 5 (80%) · UDT 7 of 9 (78%)78.5%
CD Estepona: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · UD Tamaraceite: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · CD Estepona: only games against sides at UD Tamaraceite's level · UD Tamaraceite: only games against sides at CD Estepona's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–0 10.8%
CD Estepona goals →
UD Tamaraceite goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.7%
0-17%
1-112%
2-110%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.4%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.5%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
CD ESTEPONAWDLWLWWDDL1.50 PPG
UD TAMARACEITEWLLLLWLWLL0.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD ESTEPONA HOMExUD TAMARACEITE AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.001.60CONCEDED A GAME1.8030%CLEAN SHEETS20%5.00CORNERS A GAME4.673.67CARDS A GAME4.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME0.75-0.22GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.75+1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.29LEAGUE GAMES8
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
53%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 85/90
CD ESTEPONA OR DRAW
87%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
UD TAMARACEITE OR DRAW
34%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD ESTEPONAxUD TAMARACEITE
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.403.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%80%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Estepona have scored in 80% of their games.
UD Tamaraceite have scored in 60% of their games.
CD Estepona kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
UD Tamaraceite kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards