SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
11:45Sun 8 Nov
CDA
CA
UD Castellonense vs CD Alcoyano
CLASS E
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Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:45 Lagos time.
Form. UD Castellonense have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W. CD Alcoyano have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W W.
The numbers. UD Castellonense score 1.2 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Castellonense average 9.1 shots (5.0 on target), 4.1 corners and 4.1 cards a game. CD Alcoyano score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. CD Alcoyano average 10.4 shots (4.0 on target), 6.1 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 36% against the records' 58%.
The read. No firm call: UD Castellonense are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make UD Castellonense the likelier winners; UD Castellonense are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour UD Castellonense.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: UD Castellonense 2-0 CD Alcoyano (13% chance).
The agreed story. UD Castellonense or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. UD Castellonense: up and down in the league (D W L L W). CD Alcoyano: no win in their last three league games (D L L W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
UD Castellonense or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)92.8%
UD Castellonense: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
UD Castellonense or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDA 4 of 5 (80%)64.1%
UD Castellonense: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
UD Castellonense or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 5 of 8 (62%) · CDA 4 of 5 (80%)52%
UD Castellonense: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 66% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 4 of 8 (50%) · CDA 4 of 5 (80%)48.7%
UD Castellonense: the bet landed in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 8 of 8 (100%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)94.2%
UD Castellonense: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)90.1%
UD Castellonense: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 8 of 8 (100%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)75.6%
UD Castellonense: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)73.8%
UD Castellonense: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 6 of 8 (75%) · CDA 4 of 5 (80%)61.6%
UD Castellonense: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 82% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
UD CASTELLONENSE GOALS
UD Castellonense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDA 4 of 5 (80%)70.1%
UD Castellonense scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)94.8%
UD Castellonense: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 94% · on half-time scores · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 3 of 8 (38%) · CDA 5 of 5 (100%)68.1%
UD Castellonense: the bet landed in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 64% · on half-time scores · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 5 of 7 (71%) · CDA 8 of 9 (89%)80.2%
UD Castellonense's games: over 5.5 corners in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano's games: over 5.5 corners in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDC 7 of 7 (100%) · CDA 9 of 9 (100%)97%
UD Castellonense's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · CD Alcoyano's games: over 3.5 cards in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UD Castellonense: only games against sides at CD Alcoyano's level · CD Alcoyano: only games against sides at UD Castellonense's level
Left off the list: CD Alcoyano or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (52%) and the records (73%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); UD Castellonense or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (91%) and the records (70%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 2–0 13.4%
UD Castellonense goals →
CD Alcoyano goals ↓
0-06%
1-012%
2-013%
3-010%
4-05%
5-02%
0-14%
1-19%
2-19%
3-17%
4-14%
5-12%
0-21%
1-23%
2-23%
3-22%
4-21%
5-20.5%
0-30.3%
1-30.7%
2-30.8%
3-30.5%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.1%
1-40.1%
2-40.1%
3-40.1%
4-40.0%
5-40.0%
0-50.0%
1-50.0%
2-50.0%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
UD CASTELLONENSELWWWLWLWDD1.70 PPG
CD ALCOYANOLDDLWWWLLD1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UD CASTELLONENSE HOMExCD ALCOYANO AWAY
1.30SCORED A GAME0.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2040%CLEAN SHEETS30%4.11CORNERS A GAME6.114.11CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.86POINTS A GAME1.38+0.43GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.25-2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.81.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.47LEAGUE GAMES8
CD Alcoyano: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
82%
OKAY · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
22%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
95%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
UD CASTELLONENSE OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
CD ALCOYANO OR DRAW
24%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UD CASTELLONENSExCD ALCOYANO
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME0.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.860%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS0%40%BOTH SCORE20%6.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–6.6CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
UD Castellonense have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Alcoyano have scored in 60% of their games.
UD Castellonense kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
CD Alcoyano kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards