Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 11:30 Lagos time.
Form. UD Poblense have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. CD Cieza have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W W W.
The numbers. UD Poblense score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. UD Poblense average 8.7 shots (4.0 on target), 2.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game. CD Cieza score three and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. CD Cieza average 8.1 shots (3.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.1 cards a game.
The case against. UD Poblense's record still gives them 29% to win.
The read. CD Cieza to win. A tight game. CD Cieza are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Cieza. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 41%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: UD Poblense 0-1 CD Cieza (9% chance).
The agreed story. CD Cieza or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. UD Poblense: up and down in the league (L W D W L). CD Cieza: one defeat in their last five league games (L W W W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Cieza or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 8 of 8 (100%) · UDP 7 of 9 (78%)74.9%
CD Cieza: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level
UD Poblense (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 7 of 9 (78%) · CDC 5 of 8 (62%)70.1%
UD Poblense: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: the bet landed in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 9 of 9 (100%) · CDC 7 of 8 (88%)96.7%
UD Poblense: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 9 of 9 (100%) · CDC 7 of 8 (88%)93.3%
UD Poblense: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 8 of 9 (89%) · CDC 5 of 8 (62%)74.6%
UD Poblense: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 9 of 9 (100%) · CDC 8 of 8 (100%)74.3%
UD Poblense: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 4 of 9 (44%) · CDC 4 of 8 (50%)36.4%
UD Poblense: both scored in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: both scored in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 47% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
UD POBLENSE GOALS
UD Poblense Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 6 of 9 (67%) · CDC 6 of 8 (75%)53.6%
UD Poblense scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
CD CIEZA GOALS
CD Cieza Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 6 of 8 (75%) · UDP 7 of 9 (78%)57%
CD Cieza scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · UD Poblense conceded in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UDP 9 of 9 (100%) · CDC 6 of 8 (75%)89.5%
UD Poblense: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Cieza: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · UD Poblense: only games against sides at CD Cieza's level · CD Cieza: only games against sides at UD Poblense's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–19.1%
UD Poblense goals →
CD Cieza goals ↓
0-08%
1-08%
2-06%
3-02%
4-00.7%
5-00.2%
0-19%
1-113%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11%
5-10.3%
0-27%
1-29%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.9%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.3%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
UD POBLENSELLLWLWDWLL1.00 PPG
CD CIEZAWDWLDWWWLL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UD POBLENSE HOMExCD CIEZA AWAY
0.90SCORED A GAME2.001.40CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS20%2.33CORNERS A GAME4.123.00CARDS A GAME3.12
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
0.88POINTS A GAME1.75-0.62GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.88–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.31.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.08LEAGUE GAMES8
CD Cieza: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
UD POBLENSE OR DRAW
58%
NO · 80/85
CD CIEZA OR DRAW
56%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UD POBLENSExCD CIEZA
5GAMES51.20SCORED A GAME2.401.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
UD Poblense have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Cieza have scored in 70% of their games.
UD Poblense kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
CD Cieza kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards