WTWIM

16:00Sun 8 Nov

CRA

Wimborne Town vs Crawley Town

CLASS D

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TEAM GOALS

Class D

WTv

Crawley Town Under 3.5 goals

Wimborne Town v Crawley Town

England - FA Cup · 16:00

1.11odds

90%book

+7edge

2/2angles

EDGE PICKWimborne Town or Over 2.5 Goals · 70.3% · @1.43

Book 70% · Us 70% 0

Backed by

Wimborne Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

· main loses on: 0-4, 1-4, 0-5, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6, 3-4, 2-5, 1-6, 0-7, 4-4, 3-5 and 65 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time. It is played at The Cuthbury, Wimborne.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Wimborne Town have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. Crawley Town have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D.

The numbers. Wimborne Town score 3.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Crawley Town score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Crawley Town average 13.8 shots (5.5 on target), 4.5 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 19% against the records' 83%.

The read. No firm call: Wimborne Town are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Wimborne Town the likelier winners; Wimborne Town are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Wimborne Town.

The bets. Best bet: Crawley Town Under 3.5 Goals at 1.14, rated 98% (Crawley Town scored under 3.5 in 5 of 5 away; Wimborne Town conceded under 3.5 in 5 of 5 at home). Backup: Wimborne Town or Crawley Town at 1.21. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Wimborne Town 1-0 Crawley Town (15% chance).

The agreed story. Crawley Town or the draw, a tight game.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Crawley Town play 3 divisions above Wimborne Town. Wimborne Town in their last cup games: won 4-1 at Taunton Town, won 1-0 v Chelmsford City (a division above), won 2-1 at Crowborough Athletic. Crawley Town in their last cup games: won 4-0 v Bromley FC (a division above), lost 1-4 at Milton Keynes Dons (a division above). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Double Chance: Wimborne Town or Crawley TownBACKUPIN CODES

1.25

WIM 5 of 5 (100%) · CRA 5 of 5 (100%)77%

Wimborne Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Wimborne Town or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.43

WIM 5 of 5 (100%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)70.3%

Wimborne Town: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 78%

1.29

WIM 3 of 5 (60%) · CRA 3 of 5 (60%)48.7%

Wimborne Town: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.20

WIM 4 of 5 (80%) · CRA 3 of 5 (60%)82.9%

Wimborne Town: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 84%

1.19

WIM 4 of 5 (80%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)54%

Wimborne Town: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

WIMBORNE TOWN GOALS

Wimborne Town Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.49

WIM 5 of 5 (100%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)70.3%

Wimborne Town scored in 5 of 5 at home · Crawley Town conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

CRAWLEY TOWN GOALS

Crawley Town Under 3.5 goalsMAININ CODES

1.11

CRA 5 of 5 (100%) · WIM 5 of 5 (100%)97%

Crawley Town scored under 3.5 in 5 of 5 away · Wimborne Town conceded under 3.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95%

Crawley Town Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.37

CRA 5 of 5 (100%) · WIM 4 of 5 (80%)92%

Crawley Town scored under 2.5 in 5 of 5 away · Wimborne Town conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 90%

Crawley Town Under 1.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

2.35

CRA 4 of 5 (80%) · WIM 4 of 5 (80%)58.7%

Crawley Town scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 away · Wimborne Town conceded under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%

HALVES

Double Chance & 1st Half GG/NG: Wimborne Town/Crawley Town & NoIN CODES

1.48

WIM 4 of 5 (80%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)76.7%

Wimborne Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

OTHER

GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES

1.17

WIM 4 of 5 (80%) · CRA 4 of 5 (80%)82%

Wimborne Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Crawley Town: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%

Left off the list: Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (44%) and the records (63%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Crawley Town or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (51%) and the records (72%) are 21 points apart, and nothing settles it); Wimborne Town Win & Over 1.5 (the numbers (49%) and the records (75%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Wimborne Town Over 1.5 goals (the numbers (53%) and the records (77%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Double Chance & Over/Under 1.5: Wimborne Town/Crawley Town & Over 1.5 (the numbers (56%) and the records (78%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 14.9%

Wimborne Town goals →

Crawley Town goals ↓

0-09%

1-015%

2-014%

3-08%

4-04%

5-01%

0-15%

1-111%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.9%

0-22%

1-23%

2-23%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.3%

0-30.4%

1-30.8%

2-30.7%

3-30.4%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.1%

1-40.1%

2-40.1%

3-40.1%

4-40.0%

5-40.0%

0-50.0%

1-50.0%

2-50.0%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

WIMBORNE TOWNWWWWLWWWDW2.50 PPG

CRAWLEY TOWNLLLLWDLLDW0.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

WIMBORNE TOWN HOMExCRAWLEY TOWN AWAY

2.60SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME2.0050%CLEAN SHEETS20%17%FAILED TO SCORE25%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.54POINTS A GAME0.83+0.85GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-3.12.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.013LEAGUE GAMES12

Wimborne Town: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

WIMBORNE TOWN 2:0 HANDICAP

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389 OF 413

PRICE NOT KEPT

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

62%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

35%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

90%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 12 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

WIMBORNE TOWNxCRAWLEY TOWN

8GAMES62.00SCORED A GAME1.170.62CONCEDED A GAME1.502.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.762%OVER 1.5 GOALS83%38%OVER 2.5 GOALS50%25%BOTH SCORE67%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Wimborne Town have scored in 90% of their games.

Crawley Town have scored in 90% of their games.

Wimborne Town kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

Crawley Town kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsteam news