CWCRA

15:15Sun 8 Nov

STO

Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County FC

CLASS D

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TEAM GOALS

Class D

CWv

Stockport County FC Over/Under:…

Cray Wanderers v Stockport County FC

England - FA Cup · 15:15

1.18odds

85%book

+12edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. FA Cup, 1/128-finals. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 15:15 Lagos time. It is played at Flamingo Park, Chislehurst.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Cray Wanderers have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D L. Stockport County FC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W.

The numbers. Cray Wanderers score two and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets. Cray Wanderers average 6.0 shots (2.0 on target), 9.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Stockport County FC score one and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Stockport County FC average 16.5 shots (4.6 on target), 7.8 corners and 1.0 cards a game, with 66% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 7% against the records' 35%. On goals, their xG points to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.

The read. No firm call: Cray Wanderers are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make Cray Wanderers the likelier winners; Cray Wanderers are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. Best bet: Stockport County FC Over/Under: Under 4.5 at 1.18, rated 100% (Stockport County FC scored under 4.5 in 5 of 5 away; Cray Wanderers conceded under 4.5 in 10 of 10). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Cray Wanderers 1-1 Stockport County FC (10% chance).

The agreed story. Stockport County FC or the draw, goals in between.

Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Stockport County FC play 4 divisions above Cray Wanderers. Cray Wanderers in their last cup games: won 2-1 at Berkhamsted FC, drew 2-2 v Bedford Town Football Club (a division above), drew 0-0 at Bedford Town Football Club (a division above). Stockport County FC in their last cup games: won 2-0 at Shrewsbury Town (a division below). Too few cup games to judge the side from.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%

1.21

CRA 9 of 10 (90%) · STO 2 of 5 (40%)48.7%

Cray Wanderers: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stockport County FC: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.40

CRA 8 of 10 (80%) · STO 5 of 5 (100%)78.2%

Cray Wanderers: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stockport County FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%

Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 91%

1.10

CRA 9 of 10 (90%) · STO 3 of 5 (60%)60.3%

Cray Wanderers: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stockport County FC: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%

CRAY WANDERERS GOALS

Cray Wanderers Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.82

CRA 9 of 10 (90%) · STO 2 of 5 (40%)48.7%

Cray Wanderers scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Stockport County FC conceded in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%

STOCKPORT COUNTY FC GOALS

Stockport County FC Under 3.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 68%

1.46

STO 5 of 5 (100%) · CRA 10 of 10 (100%)97%

Stockport County FC scored under 3.5 in 5 of 5 away · Cray Wanderers conceded under 3.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Stockport County FC Over/Under: Under 4.5MAININ CODES

1.18

STO 5 of 5 (100%) · CRA 10 of 10 (100%)97%

Stockport County FC scored under 4.5 in 5 of 5 away · Cray Wanderers conceded under 4.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Stockport County FC Under 2.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 45%

2.20

STO 5 of 5 (100%) · CRA 10 of 10 (100%)78.7%

Stockport County FC scored under 2.5 in 5 of 5 away · Cray Wanderers conceded under 2.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90%

Stockport County FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

STO 3 of 5 (60%) · CRA 7 of 10 (70%)68.3%

Stockport County FC scored in 3 of 5 away · Cray Wanderers conceded in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75%

Stockport County FC Under 1.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 24%

4.20

STO 3 of 5 (60%) · CRA 9 of 10 (90%)55.3%

Stockport County FC scored under 1.5 in 3 of 5 away · Cray Wanderers conceded under 1.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: Cray Wanderers Under 1.5 goals (the numbers (40%) and the records (73%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 3.5 Goals (the numbers (53%) and the records (87%) are 34 points apart, and nothing settles it); Cray Wanderers or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (69%) and the records (92%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it); Stockport County FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (53%) and the records (78%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it); Draw or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (41%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); No Draw Both Teams To Score Yes/No: No (the numbers (51%) and the records (75%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Draw or Any Clean Sheet: Yes (the numbers (51%) and the records (75%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (32%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 9.5%

Cray Wanderers goals →

Stockport County FC goals ↓

0-03%

1-05%

2-06%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.8%

0-14%

1-19%

2-19%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11%

0-23%

1-27%

2-27%

3-25%

4-22%

5-20.9%

0-32%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.6%

1-41%

2-41%

3-40.9%

4-40.4%

5-40.2%

0-50.2%

1-50.4%

2-50.4%

3-50.3%

4-50.1%

5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

CRAY WANDERERSDWDWWLDDWW1.90 PPG

STOCKPORT COUNTY FCLDWWWWWDLW2.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CRAY WANDERERS HOMExSTOCKPORT COUNTY FC AWAY

2.00SCORED A GAME1.500.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8030%CLEAN SHEETS50%14%FAILED TO SCORE21%9.33CORNERS A GAME7.752.33CARDS A GAME1.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

DRAW OR STOCKPORT COUNTY FC (1UP)

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137 OF 146

PRICE NOT KEPT

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME1.86+0.80GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.86–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+4.91.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.010LEAGUE GAMES14

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

68%

NO · 85/90

CRAY WANDERERS OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

STOCKPORT COUNTY FC OR DRAW

68%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CRAY WANDERERSxSTOCKPORT COUNTY FC

5GAMES72.00SCORED A GAME1.431.40CONCEDED A GAME0.713.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.180%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS29%80%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.5–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Cray Wanderers have scored in 90% of their games.

Stockport County FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Cray Wanderers kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Stockport County FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards