MZMAC

06:00Sun 8 Nov

SAN

Machida Zelvia vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima

CLASS D

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TEAM GOALS

Class D

MZv

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Under 2.5 goals

Machida Zelvia v Sanfrecce Hiroshima

Japan - J1 League · 06:00

1.19odds

84%book

+5edge

1/1angles

EDGE PICKSanfrecce Hiroshima or Over 2.5 Goals · 57.2% · @1.42

Book 70% · Us 57% -13 price too short

Backed by

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

· main loses on: 0-3, 1-3, 0-4, 2-3, 1-4, 0-5, 3-3, 2-4, 1-5, 0-6, 4-3, 3-4 and 76 more up to 10-10 | hedge wins on all of them

THE READ

Match details. J1 League, Regular Season - 14. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 06:00 Lagos time. It is played at Machida GION Stadium, Tokyo.

What's at stake. Machida Zelvia are 4th on 28 points after 13 games, 1 point behind Sanfrecce Hiroshima, 2 points clear of Vissel Kobe. A win would take them above Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd on 29 points after 13 games, 2 points behind Kashiwa Reysol, 1 point clear of Machida Zelvia. A win would take them above Kashiwa Reysol.

Form. Machida Zelvia have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten league games, 1.9 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W W W. In this competition Machida Zelvia have gone D D W W W L. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Sanfrecce Hiroshima have gone W W L W W W.

The numbers. Machida Zelvia score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Machida Zelvia average 13.5 shots (6.0 on target), 4.4 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 52% of the ball. Sanfrecce Hiroshima score 1.3 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sanfrecce Hiroshima average 20.0 shots (6.9 on target), 8.8 corners and 0.9 cards a game, with 69% of the ball.

Head to head. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won all of the last four meetings. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 4 Oct 2025, it finished Machida Zelvia 1-2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima: Machida Zelvia had 8 shots to 15, 31% of the ball, three yellow cards.

The case against. Machida Zelvia's record still gives them 31% to win.

The read. Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win. A tight game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Sanfrecce Hiroshima; the meetings favour Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

The bets. Best bet: Sanfrecce Hiroshima Under 2.5 Goals at 1.19, rated 88% (Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 away; Machida Zelvia conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home). Full cover: Draw or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.33. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Machida Zelvia 0-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima (8% chance).

The agreed story. No side to back (Sanfrecce Hiroshima the favourite), a tight game.

The league run. Machida Zelvia: unbeaten in their last five league games (D D W W W). Sanfrecce Hiroshima: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L W W). Not confident in Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the other side is unbeaten in five league games and they are not.

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to Win Both Halves: NoPAGE ONLY

1.09

SAN 5 of 6 (83%) · MAC 5 of 5 (100%)91%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Machida Zelvia (2:0 handicap)LEANIN CODES

1.20

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)71.2%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 3 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsFULL COVERIN CODES

1.33

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)64.6%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 85% · H2H 3 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.42

SAN 5 of 6 (83%) · MAC 3 of 5 (60%)57.2%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 76%

1.31

SAN 4 of 6 (67%) · MAC 3 of 5 (60%)51.2%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima win or both teams scoreHELD · the odds board 81%

1.24

SAN 4 of 6 (67%) · MAC 3 of 5 (60%)51%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Machida Zelvia or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 71%

1.40

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 5 of 5 (100%)51%

Machida Zelvia scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima trailed or failed to win in 2 of 7 away

Machida Zelvia or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 71%

1.41

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)50.6%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 70% · H2H 1 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima or Draw (1UP)LEANHELD · the odds board 78%

1.29

SAN 3 of 5 (60%) · MAC 5 of 7 (71%)42%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 7 away · Machida Zelvia trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 at home

GOALS

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.15

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)81%

Machida Zelvia: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Under 3.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.40

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)73.1%

Machida Zelvia: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)60.1%

Machida Zelvia: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

MACHIDA ZELVIA GOALS

Machida Zelvia Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.13

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)82.7%

Machida Zelvia scored under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 75% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA GOALS

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Under 2.5 goalsMAININ CODES

1.19

SAN 5 of 6 (83%) · MAC 4 of 5 (80%)88.9%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored under 2.5 in 5 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 79%

1.26

SAN 4 of 6 (67%) · MAC 3 of 5 (60%)52%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored in 4 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 4 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

HALVES

1st half - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.12

SAN 6 of 6 (100%) · MAC 5 of 5 (100%)96%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 6 of 6 away · Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 95% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level

Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.12

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)93.4%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY

1.23

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)93.4%

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 3+IN CODES

1.10

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)93.4%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Excluded Number of Goals - First Half: 2IN CODES

1.22

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)89.8%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 3 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

1st half - Machida Zelvia Over/Under: Under 1.5PAGE ONLY

1.09

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)88.6%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.48

MAC 5 of 5 (100%) · SAN 4 of 6 (67%)82.2%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 4 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)80.2%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 80% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

MAC 3 of 5 (60%) · SAN 3 of 6 (50%)57.9%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 3 of 6 away · both last 10: 55% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

CORNERS

Over 8.5 CornersIN CODES

1.71

MAC 6 of 8 (75%) · SAN 3 of 5 (60%)70%

Machida Zelvia's games: over 8.5 corners in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Sanfrecce Hiroshima's games: over 8.5 corners in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

OTHER

Sanfrecce Hiroshima To Score 3 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.10

SAN 4 of 5 (80%) · MAC 6 of 7 (86%)88.6%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 3 in a row in 4 · never scored 3 in a row in 6 of 7 away · Machida Zelvia never conceded 3 in a row in 5 of 5 at home

GG/NG 2+: NoIN CODES

1.14

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 5 of 6 (83%)87.7%

Machida Zelvia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the bet landed in 5 of 6 away · both last 10: 90% · H2H 4 of 4 · Machida Zelvia: only games against sides at Sanfrecce Hiroshima's level · Sanfrecce Hiroshima: only games against sides at Machida Zelvia's level

Machida Zelvia To Score 2 or More Goals in a Row: NoIN CODES

1.35

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 5 (80%)78.1%

Machida Zelvia scored first 3 of last 5, never scored 2 in a row in 4 · never scored 2 in a row in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima never conceded 2 in a row in 5 of 7 away

Machida Zelvia to lead by 2 Goals at any time: NoIN CODES

1.21

MAC 4 of 5 (80%) · SAN 4 of 5 (80%)77.1%

Machida Zelvia scored first 3 of last 5, never led by 2 in 4 · never led by 2 in 4 of 5 at home · Sanfrecce Hiroshima never trailed by 2 in 5 of 7 away

Left off the list: Machida Zelvia to lead by 1 Goal at any time: No (the numbers (42%) and the records (50%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 2.5 Cards (the numbers (42%) and the records (75%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 7.6%

Machida Zelvia goals →

Sanfrecce Hiroshima goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-04%

4-01%

5-00.4%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21.0%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.6%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

MACHIDA ZELVIADWWDLWWWDD1.90 PPG

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMADWLWWWWLWW2.20 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MACHIDA ZELVIA HOMExSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA AWAY

1.80SCORED A GAME2.400.80CONCEDED A GAME0.8080%CLEAN SHEETS80%15%FAILED TO SCORE15%4.38CORNERS A GAME8.751.88CARDS A GAME0.882.15xG2.611.31xG AGAINST0.79

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.15POINTS A GAME2.23+1.54GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.69+1.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+7.62.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.413LEAGUE GAMES13

Sanfrecce Hiroshima: the quality side - more shots than it allows.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

81%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

69%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

73%

NO · 85/90

MACHIDA ZELVIA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA OR DRAW

63%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MACHIDA ZELVIAxSANFRECCE HIROSHIMA

6GAMES71.83SCORED A GAME1.711.17CONCEDED A GAME1.143.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.983%OVER 1.5 GOALS71%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%67%BOTH SCORE29%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.3–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.3

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

MACHIDA ZELVIA 0 · 0%DRAW 0SANFRECCE HIROSHIMA 4 · 100%

3 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

4 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

3 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

0 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2024-04-03Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2024-09-28Machida Zelvia 0 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2025-02-16Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

2025-10-04Machida Zelvia 1 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima

TRENDS

Machida Zelvia have scored in 70% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima have scored in 90% of their games.

Machida Zelvia kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima kept a clean sheet in 80% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards