LLLYO

18:00Sat 7 Nov

EFC

Lyon La Duchere vs EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael

CLASS A

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THE READ

Match details. National 1, Group C - 9. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 18:00 Lagos time. It is played at Stade de Balmont, Lyon.

What's at stake. Lyon La Duchere are 13th on 7 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Limonest, 3 points clear of Bourges Foot 18. A win would take them above Limonest. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael are 8th on 12 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Andrézieux, level on points with UF Touraine. A win would take them above Andrézieux.

Form. Lyon La Duchere have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W L. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W.

The numbers. Lyon La Duchere score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael average 1.5 corners and 1.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last four meetings Lyon La Duchere have won one, drawn none and lost three. Two of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 18 Mar 2023, it finished Lyon La Duchere 2-1 EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.

The case against. Lyon La Duchere's record still gives them 36% to win.

The read. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael to win. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Lyon La Duchere 0-1 EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael (8% chance).

The agreed story. EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael or the draw, goals in between.

The league run. Lyon La Duchere: up and down in the league (D W L W L). EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L L W).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

EFC 7 of 10 (70%) · LYO 6 of 8 (75%)59.3%

EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyon La Duchere: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 3 of 4 · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LYO 7 of 8 (88%) · EFC 10 of 10 (100%)92.1%

Lyon La Duchere: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · H2H 4 of 4 · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LYO 7 of 8 (88%) · EFC 9 of 10 (90%)86.1%

Lyon La Duchere: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · H2H 4 of 4 · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.27

LYO 5 of 8 (62%) · EFC 7 of 10 (70%)73.2%

Lyon La Duchere: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 3 of 4 · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.31

LYO 6 of 8 (75%) · EFC 6 of 10 (60%)58%

Lyon La Duchere: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · H2H 3 of 4 · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level

EFC FREJUS SAINT-RAPHAEL GOALS

EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

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EFC 7 of 10 (70%) · LYO 6 of 8 (75%)70.6%

EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Lyon La Duchere conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 4 of 4 · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level

HALVES

1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

LYO 7 of 8 (88%) · EFC 8 of 10 (80%)86.1%

Lyon La Duchere: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 4 of 4 · on half-time scores · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.44

LYO 7 of 8 (88%) · EFC 5 of 10 (50%)69.6%

Lyon La Duchere: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · H2H 3 of 4 · on half-time scores · Lyon La Duchere: only games against sides at EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael's level · EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: only games against sides at Lyon La Duchere's level

Left off the list: EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (62%) and the records (86%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 0–1 8.1%

Lyon La Duchere goals →

EFC Frejus… goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-19%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-25%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.9%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

LYON LA DUCHEREWLLLLLWLWD1.00 PPG

EFC FREJUS SAINT-RAPHAELLLWWLWLLWW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

LYON LA DUCHERE HOMExEFC FREJUS SAINT-RAPHAEL AWAY

1.30SCORED A GAME1.401.90CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE14%

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

1.00POINTS A GAME1.50-0.86GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.00–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–1.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES6

EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael: the quality side - a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

79%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

64%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

84%

NO · 85/90

LYON LA DUCHERE OR DRAW

58%

NO · 80/85

EFC FREJUS SAINT-RAPHAEL OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

LYON LA DUCHERExEFC FREJUS SAINT-RAPHAEL

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME2.001.20CONCEDED A GAME1.402.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 4

LYON LA DUCHERE 1 · 25%DRAW 0EFC FREJUS SAINT-RAPHAEL 3 · 75%

2 of 4BOTH TEAMS SCORED

3 of 4OVER 1.5 GOALS

2 of 4OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 4OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-10-09Lyon La Duchere 0 – 1 EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael

2022-03-26Lyon La Duchere 1 – 3 EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael

2023-01-07Lyon La Duchere 0 – 2 EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael

2023-03-18Lyon La Duchere 2 – 1 EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael

TRENDS

Lyon La Duchere have scored in 70% of their games.

EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael have scored in 70% of their games.

Lyon La Duchere kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

EFC Frejus Saint-Raphael kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague table