Match details. Brasileiro Serie B. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 20:10 Lagos time.
Form. Gremio Novorizontino SP have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten league games, 2.1 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W D W W. Fortaleza EC CE have won four, drawn six and lost none of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W D W.
The numbers. Gremio Novorizontino SP score 2.2 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Gremio Novorizontino SP average 6.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Fortaleza EC CE score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Fortaleza EC CE average 5.6 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 57% against the records' 30%.
The read. No firm call: Gremio Novorizontino SP are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Gremio Novorizontino SP the likelier winners; Gremio Novorizontino SP are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Gremio Novorizontino SP 1-1 Fortaleza EC CE (13% chance).
The agreed story. Gremio Novorizontino SP or the draw, a tight game. The app, the Bank and the tipsters together.
The league run. Gremio Novorizontino SP: one defeat in their last five league games (W W D W L). Fortaleza EC CE: unbeaten in their last five league games (D D W D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Gremio Novorizontino SP or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.16
GRE 5 of 5 (100%) · FOR 5 of 5 (100%)88.7%
Gremio Novorizontino SP scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Fortaleza EC CE (0:2 handicap)IN CODES
1.35
FOR 10 of 10 (100%) · GRE 3 of 5 (60%)80%
Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio Novorizontino SP: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level
Gremio Novorizontino SP or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.14
GRE 5 of 5 (100%) · FOR 6 of 10 (60%)75.3%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.40
GRE 5 of 5 (100%) · FOR 7 of 10 (70%)63.7%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Gremio Novorizontino SP or Both Teams ScoreLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 6 of 10 (60%)53.7%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.55
GRE 2 of 5 (40%) · FOR 9 of 10 (90%)48.7%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Fortaleza EC CE or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.65
FOR 7 of 10 (70%) · GRE 3 of 5 (60%)47%
Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio Novorizontino SP: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level
GOALS
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.09
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 10 of 10 (100%)91.6%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.27
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 7 of 10 (70%)72.8%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.34
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 7 of 10 (70%)54.7%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
GREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SP GOALS
Gremio Novorizontino SP Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.23
GRE 3 of 5 (60%) · FOR 10 of 10 (100%)80.6%
Gremio Novorizontino SP scored under 2.5 in 3 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE conceded under 2.5 in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
Gremio Novorizontino SP Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 83%
1.20
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 6 of 10 (60%)60.8%
Gremio Novorizontino SP scored in 4 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE conceded in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
FORTALEZA EC CE GOALS
Fortaleza EC CE Under 1.5 goalsPAGE ONLY
1.24
FOR 5 of 10 (50%) · GRE 5 of 5 (100%)70.8%
Fortaleza EC CE scored under 1.5 in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio Novorizontino SP conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level
Fortaleza EC CE Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.56
FOR 9 of 10 (90%) · GRE 3 of 5 (60%)49.7%
Fortaleza EC CE scored in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Gremio Novorizontino SP conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.42
GRE 4 of 5 (80%) · FOR 8 of 10 (80%)80%
Gremio Novorizontino SP: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Fortaleza EC CE: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Gremio Novorizontino SP: only games against sides at Fortaleza EC CE's level · Fortaleza EC CE: only games against sides at Gremio Novorizontino SP's level
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.7%
Gremio Novorizontino… goals →
Fortaleza EC CE goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-08%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.5%
1-40.7%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.2%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
GREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SPWWDWWWDLDW2.10 PPG
FORTALEZA EC CEDDWDWDDWDW1.80 PPG
THE NUMBERS
GREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SP HOMExFORTALEZA EC CE AWAY
1.78SCORED A GAME1.190.86CONCEDED A GAME0.8660%BOTH SCORED60%40%CLEAN SHEETS40%6.22CORNERS A GAME5.562.08CARDS A GAME2.47
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.29POINTS A GAME1.80+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.40+7.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.87LEAGUE GAMES5
Gremio Novorizontino SP: the quality side - more shots than it allows.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
99%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
GREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SP OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
FORTALEZA EC CE OR DRAW
45%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (7 and 5 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
GREMIO NOVORIZONTINO SPxFORTALEZA EC CE
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.602.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.680%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%6.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.89.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Gremio Novorizontino SP have scored in 90% of their games.
Fortaleza EC CE have scored in 90% of their games.
Gremio Novorizontino SP kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Fortaleza EC CE kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards