Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Ciudad de Lucena have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W W. CD Badajoz have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D.
The numbers. CD Ciudad de Lucena score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. CD Ciudad de Lucena average 9.1 shots (4.0 on target), 3.3 corners and 3.1 cards a game. CD Badajoz score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Badajoz average 11.2 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
The case against. CD Badajoz's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. CD Ciudad de Lucena to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Ciudad de Lucena the likelier winners; CD Ciudad de Lucena are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Ciudad de Lucena or Draw at 1.28, rated 75% (CD Ciudad de Lucena unbeaten in 8 of 9; CD Badajoz failed to win 5 of 9). Predicted score: CD Ciudad de Lucena 1-0 CD Badajoz (11% chance).
The agreed story. CD Ciudad de Lucena or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. CD Ciudad de Lucena: unbeaten in their last five league games (W D W W W). CD Badajoz: unbeaten in their last five league games (D D W W D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Badajoz (0:2 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 9 of 9 (100%) · CDC 7 of 9 (78%)88.9%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level
Double Chance: CD Ciudad de Lucena or DrawMAININ CODES
1.28
CDC 8 of 9 (89%) · CDB 5 of 9 (56%)76.1%
CD Ciudad de Lucena unbeaten in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz failed to win 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CD Ciudad de Lucena or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 5 (100%) · CDB 7 of 8 (88%)73%
CD Ciudad de Lucena scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz trailed or failed to win in 2 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CD Ciudad de Lucena or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 7 of 9 (78%) · CDB 6 of 9 (67%)62.4%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CD Ciudad de Lucena or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 9 of 9 (100%) · CDB 5 of 9 (56%)59.8%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 7 of 9 (78%) · CDB 6 of 9 (67%)54.2%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 5 of 9 (56%) · CDB 7 of 9 (78%)48.7%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CD Ciudad de Lucena 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 4 of 5 (80%) · CDB 5 of 8 (62%)35.1%
CD Ciudad de Lucena scored first 3 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz trailed in 1 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDC 8 of 9 (89%) · CDB 9 of 9 (100%)97%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 8 of 9 (89%) · CDB 9 of 9 (100%)94.2%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 7 of 9 (78%) · CDB 8 of 9 (89%)75.9%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 9 of 9 (100%) · CDB 7 of 9 (78%)73.8%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: over 0.5 goals in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Under 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 60%
1.67
CDC 4 of 9 (44%) · CDB 6 of 9 (67%)37%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA GOALS
CD Ciudad de Lucena Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDC 9 of 9 (100%) · CDB 5 of 9 (56%)60.7%
CD Ciudad de Lucena scored in 9 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz conceded in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CD BADAJOZ GOALS
CD Badajoz Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 6 of 9 (67%) · CDC 6 of 9 (67%)46.6%
CD Badajoz scored in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Ciudad de Lucena conceded in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CDC 8 of 9 (89%) · CDB 8 of 9 (89%)90.9%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 6 of 9 (67%) · CDB 8 of 9 (89%)79.8%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 6 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 78% · on half-time scores · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 7 of 9 (78%) · CDB 5 of 9 (56%)66.7%
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the bet landed in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 5 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 67% · on half-time scores · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CORNERS
Over 5.5 CornersPAGE ONLY
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CDC 5 of 8 (62%) · CDB 5 of 6 (83%)72.9%
CD Ciudad de Lucena's games: over 5.5 corners in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz's games: over 5.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDC 7 of 8 (88%) · CDB 6 of 6 (100%)93.8%
CD Ciudad de Lucena's games: over 3.5 cards in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Badajoz's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 94% · CD Ciudad de Lucena: only games against sides at CD Badajoz's level · CD Badajoz: only games against sides at CD Ciudad de Lucena's level
Left off the list: CD Badajoz or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (58%) and the records (83%) are 25 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.9%
CD Ciudad de Lucena goals →
CD Badajoz goals ↓
0-08%
1-011%
2-09%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-26%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.4%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENADDLWWWWDLW1.80 PPG
CD BADAJOZDWWLDDWWDD1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA HOMExCD BADAJOZ AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.7030%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.33CORNERS A GAME4.003.11CARDS A GAME2.67
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.00POINTS A GAME1.78+0.78GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+0.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.52.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.89LEAGUE GAMES9
CD Ciudad de Lucena: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
42%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENA OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
CD BADAJOZ OR DRAW
66%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD CIUDAD DE LUCENAxCD BADAJOZ
5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.001.00CONCEDED A GAME0.603.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%6.8CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–8.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Ciudad de Lucena have scored in 90% of their games.
CD Badajoz have scored in 70% of their games.
CD Ciudad de Lucena kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
CD Badajoz kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards