SPAIN - SEGUNDA FEDERACION
16:00Sat 7 Nov
SDA
SA
CD Basconia vs SD Amorebieta
CLASS E
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Match details. Segunda Federacion, Group 1 - 10. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Basconia have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D D. SD Amorebieta have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L W.
The numbers. CD Basconia score 2.6 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CD Basconia average 11.0 shots (5.1 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.6 cards a game. SD Amorebieta score 1.4 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five away, with three clean sheets. SD Amorebieta average 11.2 shots (5.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: CD Basconia 1-1 SD Amorebieta (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (SD Amorebieta the favourite), a tight game.
The league run. CD Basconia: no win in their last three league games (D D L D D). SD Amorebieta: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W W L W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Basconia (2:0 handicap)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · SDA 3 of 5 (60%)81.7%
CD Basconia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
SD Amorebieta or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDB 4 of 5 (80%)60.3%
SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · CD Basconia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level
CD Basconia or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · SDA 2 of 5 (40%)51%
CD Basconia: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
CD Basconia or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 6 of 7 (86%)51%
CD Basconia scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SD Amorebieta trailed or failed to win in 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
CD Basconia or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 3 of 5 (60%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)50.3%
CD Basconia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
Double Chance: Draw or SD AmorebietaLEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
SDA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDB 3 of 5 (60%)49.1%
SD Amorebieta unbeaten in 4 of 5 away · CD Basconia failed to win 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 3 of 5 (60%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)48.7%
CD Basconia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
SD Amorebieta or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDA 5 of 5 (100%) · CDB 1 of 5 (20%)43.7%
SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · CD Basconia: the bet landed in 1 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 5 of 5 (100%)96.3%
CD Basconia: under 5.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 3 of 5 (60%) · SDA 5 of 5 (100%)93.2%
CD Basconia: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · SDA 5 of 5 (100%)73.8%
CD Basconia: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · SDA 3 of 5 (60%)56.5%
CD Basconia: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · SDA 1 of 5 (20%)35%
CD Basconia: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: both scored in 1 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
CD BASCONIA GOALS
CD Basconia Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · SDA 2 of 5 (40%)56.5%
CD Basconia scored in 5 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta conceded in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
SD AMOREBIETA GOALS
SD Amorebieta Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDA 4 of 5 (80%) · CDB 5 of 5 (100%)52.2%
SD Amorebieta scored in 4 of 5 away · CD Basconia conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 3 of 5 (60%) · SDA 5 of 5 (100%)81%
CD Basconia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
CD Basconia: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 3 of 5 (60%) · SDA 4 of 5 (80%)69.3%
CD Basconia: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · SD Amorebieta: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 65% · on half-time scores · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 6 of 7 (86%) · SDA 5 of 5 (100%)92.9%
CD Basconia's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · SD Amorebieta's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · CD Basconia: only games against sides at SD Amorebieta's level · SD Amorebieta: only games against sides at CD Basconia's level
Left off the list: SD Amorebieta 1UP (the numbers (49%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); SD Amorebieta or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (66%) and the records (90%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (62%) and the records (86%) are 23 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13.3%
CD Basconia goals →
SD Amorebieta goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-26%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.2%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31.0%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-40.9%
2-40.6%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.2%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
CD BASCONIAWLWDWDDLDD1.40 PPG
SD AMOREBIETAWDLWLWLWWW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD BASCONIA HOMExSD AMOREBIETA AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME1.301.50CONCEDED A GAME0.8010%CLEAN SHEETS40%3.86CORNERS A GAME4.002.57CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.22POINTS A GAME1.78-0.11GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.33+0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.50.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.49LEAGUE GAMES9
SD Amorebieta: the quality side - better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
75%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
58%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
96%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD BASCONIA OR DRAW
70%
NO · 80/85
SD AMOREBIETA OR DRAW
74%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 9 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD BASCONIAxSD AMOREBIETA
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.401.40CONCEDED A GAME0.802.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.280%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Basconia have scored in 90% of their games.
SD Amorebieta have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Basconia kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
SD Amorebieta kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards