Match details. 1. Lig. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:00 Lagos time.
Form. Muglaspor have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W W L D. Esenler Erokspor have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L W D W.
The numbers. Muglaspor score 2.2 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Muglaspor average 4.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Esenler Erokspor score 1.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Esenler Erokspor average 5.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. A draw. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Muglaspor 1-1 Esenler Erokspor (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Muglaspor the favourite), goals in between.
The league run. Muglaspor: up and down in the league (L W W L D). Esenler Erokspor: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W D W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Muglaspor or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.47
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 4 of 5 (80%)65%
Muglaspor scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.32
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 4 of 5 (80%)60.3%
Muglaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Muglaspor or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES
1.36
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 3 of 5 (60%)55.3%
Muglaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Esenler Erokspor win or both teams scoreLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
ESE 4 of 5 (80%) · MUG 3 of 5 (60%)50.3%
Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · Muglaspor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.67
MUG 3 of 5 (60%) · ESE 4 of 5 (80%)48.7%
Muglaspor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Muglaspor or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 68%
1.46
MUG 5 of 5 (100%) · ESE 2 of 5 (40%)46.2%
Muglaspor: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Esenler Erokspor or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%
1.37
ESE 3 of 5 (60%) · MUG 4 of 5 (80%)41.5%
Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · Muglaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 60% · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level
Muglaspor or Draw & Over 1.5LEANPAGE ONLY
2.05
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 3 of 5 (60%)39.2%
Muglaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 60% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MUG 5 of 5 (100%) · ESE 4 of 5 (80%)92.1%
Muglaspor: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: over 0.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 95% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 4 of 5 (80%)78.6%
Muglaspor: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 70% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Over 1.5 GoalsHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
MUG 5 of 5 (100%) · ESE 3 of 5 (60%)52.7%
Muglaspor: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
MUGLASPOR GOALS
Muglaspor Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.09
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 4 of 5 (80%)80%
Muglaspor scored under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Muglaspor Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.37
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 3 of 5 (60%)60.4%
Muglaspor scored in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor conceded in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
ESENLER EROKSPOR GOALS
Esenler Erokspor Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES
1.22
ESE 5 of 5 (100%) · MUG 4 of 5 (80%)90.2%
Esenler Erokspor scored under 2.5 in 5 of 5 away · Muglaspor conceded under 2.5 in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level
Esenler Erokspor Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 83%
1.21
ESE 4 of 5 (80%) · MUG 3 of 5 (60%)48.4%
Esenler Erokspor scored in 4 of 5 away · Muglaspor conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 65% · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.10
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 4 of 5 (80%)78.3%
Muglaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.35
MUG 4 of 5 (80%) · ESE 2 of 5 (40%)66.7%
Muglaspor: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Esenler Erokspor: the bet landed in 2 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · on half-time scores · Muglaspor: only games against sides at Esenler Erokspor's level · Esenler Erokspor: only games against sides at Muglaspor's level
Left off the list: Esenler Erokspor or Draw (1UP) (the numbers (60%) and the records (87%) are 26 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–112.8%
Muglaspor goals →
Esenler Erokspor goals ↓
0-08%
1-010%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.6%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-23%
4-21.0%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.7%
2-40.5%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).
FORM · LAST 10
MUGLASPORLWWLDDDDWW1.60 PPG
ESENLER EROKSPORWLWDWLDLDL1.20 PPG
THE NUMBERS
MUGLASPOR HOMExESENLER EROKSPOR AWAY
1.38SCORED A GAME1.151.54CONCEDED A GAME1.3850%BOTH SCORED50%30%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.15CORNERS A GAME5.772.54CARDS A GAME3.00
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
718 OF 767
PRICE NOT KEPT
The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.38POINTS A GAME1.15-0.15GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.23+0.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.11.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.013LEAGUE GAMES13
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
67%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
38%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
70%
NO · 85/90
MUGLASPOR OR DRAW
86%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
ESENLER EROKSPOR OR DRAW
79%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
MUGLASPORxESENLER EROKSPOR
6GAMES71.83SCORED A GAME1.001.17CONCEDED A GAME1.003.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.083%OVER 1.5 GOALS57%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS29%33%BOTH SCORE57%4.6CARDS IN THEIR GAMES5.26.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Muglaspor have scored in 80% of their games.
Esenler Erokspor have scored in 60% of their games.
Muglaspor kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
Esenler Erokspor kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards