Match details. Egypt Cup, Round of 32. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at 30 June Stadium, Cairo.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Pyramids FC have won ten, drawn none and lost none of their last ten, 3.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. El Dakhleya Sc have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L W.
The numbers. Pyramids FC score 3.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets. Pyramids FC average 19.2 shots (6.4 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. El Dakhleya Sc score one and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. El Dakhleya Sc average 6.9 shots (3.0 on target), 2.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Pyramids FC have won six, drawn one and lost three. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Pyramids FC won three and El Dakhleya Sc won one. The last time they met, on 14 Aug 2024, it finished Pyramids FC 1-0 El Dakhleya Sc: Pyramids FC had 19 shots to 3, 63% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The read. Pyramids FC to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Pyramids FC the likelier winners; Pyramids FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Pyramids FC; the meetings favour Pyramids FC.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Pyramids FC 2-1 El Dakhleya Sc (10% chance).
The agreed story. Pyramids FC or the draw, a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Pyramids FC in their last cup games: won 1-0 at Smouha SC, won 3-2 v El Qanah FC. Too few cup games to judge the side from.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).