SPAIN - COPA DEL REY
20:00Tue 10 Nov
TEN
TC
CD Badajoz vs Tenerife CD
CLASS A
THE READ
Match details. Copa del Rey. Kick-off is Tue 10 Nov, 20:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Badajoz have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W D. Tenerife CD have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D L D.
The numbers. CD Badajoz score one and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD Badajoz average 11.2 shots (4.0 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Tenerife CD score one and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Tenerife CD average 8.9 shots (3.3 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
The case against. CD Badajoz's record still gives them 45% to win.
The read. Tenerife CD or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make CD Badajoz the likelier winners; CD Badajoz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Badajoz. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 6.5 Corners (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: CD Badajoz 1-1 Tenerife CD (13% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
CD Badajoz or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 6 of 6 (100%)100%
CD Badajoz scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tenerife CD trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 away
CD Badajoz or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)98.7%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 95%
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)80%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
Tenerife CD or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 3 of 5 (60%) · TEN 4 of 5 (80%)78.8%
Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
Tenerife CD or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)71.2%
Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75%
CD Badajoz 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 3 of 5 (60%) · TEN 4 of 6 (67%)68.9%
CD Badajoz scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tenerife CD trailed in 4 of 5 away
CD Badajoz or Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)65%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 80%
CD Badajoz or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)63.8%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
CD Badajoz (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)52.5%
CD Badajoz won 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Tenerife CD lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 70% · won 5, refunded 4, lost 1
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 2 of 5 (40%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)51.8%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 70%
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)100%
CD Badajoz: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100%
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)87.5%
CD Badajoz: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: under 4.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 3.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)86.3%
CD Badajoz: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: under 3.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 85%
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)85%
CD Badajoz: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)78.8%
CD Badajoz: under 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
Over 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 2 of 5 (40%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)51.2%
CD Badajoz: over 1.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 65%
CD BADAJOZ GOALS
CD Badajoz Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · TEN 5 of 5 (100%)63.8%
CD Badajoz scored in 4 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD conceded in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 75%
TENERIFE CD GOALS
Tenerife CD Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 4 of 5 (80%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)65%
Tenerife CD scored in 4 of 5 away · CD Badajoz conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)81.5%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 84% · on half-time scores
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 5 of 5 (100%) · TEN 3 of 5 (60%)79.8%
CD Badajoz: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Tenerife CD: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 79% · on half-time scores
CARDS
Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CDB 6 of 6 (100%) · TEN 4 of 5 (80%)90%
CD Badajoz's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tenerife CD's games: over 3.5 cards in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90%
Left off the list: Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (46%) and the records (72%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13%
CD Badajoz goals →
Tenerife CD goals ↓
0-09%
1-012%
2-010%
3-05%
4-02%
5-00.6%
0-17%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-26%
2-24%
3-22%
4-20.8%
5-20.3%
0-31%
1-32%
2-31%
3-30.7%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.3%
1-40.4%
2-40.3%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CD BADAJOZDWWLDDWWDD1.70 PPG
TENERIFE CDWLDWLDLDDD1.10 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CD BADAJOZ HOMExTENERIFE CD AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME1.000.70CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS20%4.00CORNERS A GAME4.402.67CARDS A GAME2.80
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.78POINTS A GAME0.90+0.33GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.50-2.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-1.41.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.89LEAGUE GAMES10
CD Badajoz: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
CD BADAJOZ 2:0 HANDICAP
–
389 OF 413
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
71%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
26%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CD BADAJOZ OR DRAW
89%
VERY GOOD · 80/85
TENERIFE CD OR DRAW
49%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (9 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CD BADAJOZxTENERIFE CD
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME1.000.60CONCEDED A GAME2.201.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.240%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES6.2–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES7.8
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
CD Badajoz have scored in 70% of their games.
Tenerife CD have scored in 80% of their games.
CD Badajoz kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Tenerife CD kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards