AMATL

02:00Sun 8 Nov

VEN

Atletico Morelia vs Venados FC

CLASS E

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THE READ

Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 02:00 Lagos time.

Form. Atletico Morelia have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W L D. Venados FC have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W D D.

The numbers. Atletico Morelia score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. Atletico Morelia average 7.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Venados FC score 1.4 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. Venados FC average 5.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.

The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Atletico Morelia 1-1 Venados FC (13% chance).

The agreed story. Atletico Morelia or the draw, an open game.

The league run. Atletico Morelia: one defeat in their last five league games (W L W D D). Venados FC: one defeat in their last five league games (L D W D D).

So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Atletico Morelia or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY

no price yet

ATL 4 of 5 (80%) · VEN 8 of 10 (80%)84%

Atletico Morelia scored first 2 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC trailed or failed to win in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · VEN 5 of 5 (100%)71.4%

Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

Atletico Morelia or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · VEN 3 of 5 (60%)68.7%

Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC: the bet landed in 3 of 5 away · both last 10: 75% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

Atletico Morelia or Both Teams ScoreHELD · the odds board 92%

1.09

ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)68.1%

Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.14

ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)83.2%

Atletico Morelia: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANHELD · the odds board 66%

1.52

ATL 8 of 10 (80%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)36%

Atletico Morelia: both scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC: both scored in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 80% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

ATLETICO MORELIA GOALS

Atletico Morelia Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES

1.09

ATL 10 of 10 (100%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)78.1%

Atletico Morelia scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC conceded in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

VENADOS FC GOALS

Venados FC Under 2.5 goalsIN CODES

1.10

VEN 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 9 of 10 (90%)90%

Venados FC scored under 2.5 in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia conceded under 2.5 in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level

Venados FC Over 0.5 goalsLEANHELD · the odds board 73%

1.37

VEN 4 of 5 (80%) · ATL 8 of 10 (80%)50.3%

Venados FC scored in 4 of 5 away · Atletico Morelia conceded in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.23

ATL 9 of 10 (90%) · VEN 4 of 5 (80%)85%

Atletico Morelia: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Venados FC: the bet landed in 4 of 5 away · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Atletico Morelia: only games against sides at Venados FC's level · Venados FC: only games against sides at Atletico Morelia's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 12.8%

Atletico Morelia goals →

Venados FC goals ↓

0-08%

1-010%

2-08%

3-04%

4-02%

5-00.5%

0-17%

1-113%

2-19%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.5%

0-25%

1-27%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.3%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.5%

1-40.8%

2-40.6%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).

FORM · LAST 10

ATLETICO MORELIAWLWLDDLWWW1.70 PPG

VENADOS FCLDWDDWWLWL1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ATLETICO MORELIA HOMExVENADOS FC AWAY

1.73SCORED A GAME2.071.27CONCEDED A GAME1.6780%BOTH SCORED80%20%CLEAN SHEETS20%7.00CORNERS A GAME5.252.75CARDS A GAME2.88

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

PRICE NOT KEPT

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.93POINTS A GAME1.57+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.29+3.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.61.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.215LEAGUE GAMES14

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

89%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

68%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 85/90

ATLETICO MORELIA OR DRAW

86%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

VENADOS FC OR DRAW

44%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 14 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ATLETICO MORELIAxVENADOS FC

6GAMES72.67SCORED A GAME1.001.33CONCEDED A GAME1.864.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.9100%OVER 1.5 GOALS86%67%OVER 2.5 GOALS57%83%BOTH SCORE86%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Atletico Morelia have scored in 100% of their games.

Venados FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Atletico Morelia kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Venados FC kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards