MEXICO - LIGA DE EXPANSION MX
19:00Sun 8 Nov
ALA
AD
Leones Negros UDEG vs Alacranes de Durango
CLASS E
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Match details. Liga de Expansion MX. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 19:00 Lagos time.
Form. Leones Negros UDEG have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L D. Alacranes de Durango have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Leones Negros UDEG score two and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Leones Negros UDEG average 4.4 corners and 2.7 cards a game. Alacranes de Durango score 1.9 and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Alacranes de Durango average 5.0 corners and 2.9 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side.
The bets. No best bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: Leones Negros UDEG 1-1 Alacranes de Durango (13% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Alacranes de Durango the favourite), goals in between.
The league run. Leones Negros UDEG: up and down in the league (L W W L D). Alacranes de Durango: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Alacranes de Durango or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 5 of 5 (100%) · LEO 9 of 10 (90%)65.3%
Alacranes de Durango scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG trailed or failed to win in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · ALA 7 of 10 (70%)57%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Alacranes de Durango or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 9 of 10 (90%) · LEO 5 of 10 (50%)52%
Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level
Alacranes de Durango or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 7 of 10 (70%) · LEO 8 of 10 (80%)50.2%
Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 4 of 5 (80%) · ALA 8 of 10 (80%)48.7%
Leones Negros UDEG scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango trailed or failed to win in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Draw or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · ALA 6 of 10 (60%)47%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Both Teams ScoreLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · ALA 5 of 10 (50%)47%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Leones Negros UDEG or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · ALA 5 of 10 (50%)42%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 60% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 10 of 10 (100%) · ALA 9 of 10 (90%)92.5%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: over 0.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 9 of 10 (90%) · ALA 7 of 10 (70%)86.7%
Leones Negros UDEG: under 4.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 9 of 10 (90%) · ALA 6 of 10 (60%)59.6%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 6 of 10 (60%) · ALA 4 of 10 (40%)28.7%
Leones Negros UDEG: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
LEONES NEGROS UDEG GOALS
Leones Negros UDEG Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · ALA 5 of 10 (50%)57.9%
Leones Negros UDEG scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
ALACRANES DE DURANGO GOALS
Alacranes de Durango Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ALA 8 of 10 (80%) · LEO 9 of 10 (90%)53.5%
Alacranes de Durango scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Leones Negros UDEG conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · ALA 10 of 10 (100%)89%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
2nd Half Leones Negros UDEG to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.40
LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · ALA 10 of 10 (100%)80%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
1st Half Leones Negros UDEG to Win to Nil: NoPAGE ONLY
1.38
LEO 6 of 10 (60%) · ALA 8 of 10 (80%)76.8%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 8 of 10 (80%) · ALA 7 of 10 (70%)68.3%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · on half-time scores · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LEO 7 of 10 (70%) · ALA 7 of 10 (70%)68.1%
Leones Negros UDEG: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alacranes de Durango: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · on half-time scores · Leones Negros UDEG: only games against sides at Alacranes de Durango's level · Alacranes de Durango: only games against sides at Leones Negros UDEG's level
Left off the list: Alacranes de Durango 1UP (the numbers (50%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–1 13%
Leones Negros UDEG goals →
Alacranes de Durango goals ↓
0-08%
1-09%
2-07%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.3%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-14%
4-11%
5-10.4%
0-25%
1-28%
2-25%
3-23%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-33%
2-32%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-40.7%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).
FORM · LAST 10
LEONES NEGROS UDEGLWWLDWWLDW1.70 PPG
ALACRANES DE DURANGOWWLWDWWWLD2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LEONES NEGROS UDEG HOMExALACRANES DE DURANGO AWAY
2.27SCORED A GAME1.401.33CONCEDED A GAME1.0070%BOTH SCORED40%10%CLEAN SHEETS50%4.38CORNERS A GAME5.002.69CARDS A GAME2.94
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
OVER 2.5 CARDS
–
258 OF 280
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game and the Bank expects 4.5+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.80POINTS A GAME1.73+0.60GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.47-1.5SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+3.41.4LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.415LEAGUE GAMES15
Alacranes de Durango: the quality side - more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
80%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
43%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
87%
OKAY · 85/90
LEONES NEGROS UDEG OR DRAW
60%
NO · 80/85
ALACRANES DE DURANGO OR DRAW
64%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (15 and 15 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LEONES NEGROS UDEGxALACRANES DE DURANGO
6GAMES72.33SCORED A GAME0.712.00CONCEDED A GAME0.864.3GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.6100%OVER 1.5 GOALS29%83%OVER 2.5 GOALS14%100%BOTH SCORE14%6.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Leones Negros UDEG have scored in 80% of their games.
Alacranes de Durango have scored in 80% of their games.
Leones Negros UDEG kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Alacranes de Durango kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards