HONDURAS - LIGA NACIONAL
00:15Sun 8 Nov
FCM
FM
Lobos UPNFM vs FC Motagua Tegucigalpa
CLASS D
Want this game in a code?
VIP members get every code: the 2, 3, 5 and 10 odds, the 30-100 and the Grand, booked and ready.
SubscribeTHE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…
78
TOTAL GOALS
Class D
Under 3.5 Goals
Lobos UPNFM v FC Motagua Tegucigalpa
1.37odds
73%book
+5edge
4/4angles
THE READ
Match details. Liga Nacional. Kick-off is Sun 8 Nov, 00:15 Lagos time.
Form. Lobos UPNFM have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W D. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W D.
The numbers. Lobos UPNFM score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and five games without a goal. Lobos UPNFM average 5.2 corners and 2.5 cards a game. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa average 6.9 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
The case against. Lobos UPNFM's record still gives them 27% to win.
The read. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa to win. A tight game. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Motagua Tegucigalpa. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 29%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.38, rated 76% (Lobos UPNFM: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10; FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7). The safer one: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa Under 2.5 Goals at 1.25 (86%). Full cover: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Over 2.5 Goals at 1.32. Whenever the best bet loses, this one wins. Predicted score: Lobos UPNFM 0-1 FC Motagua Tegucigalpa (10% chance).
The agreed story. FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. Lobos UPNFM: one defeat in their last five league games (D W L D W). FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: unbeaten in their last five league games (W W W W W).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
FCM 5 of 5 (100%) · LOB 5 of 5 (100%)92.5%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM trailed or failed to win in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.22
FCM 7 of 7 (100%) · LOB 8 of 10 (80%)76.8%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
Double Chance: Draw or FC Motagua TegucigalpaLEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
FCM 6 of 7 (86%) · LOB 6 of 10 (60%)72.3%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa unbeaten in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM failed to win 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
Lobos UPNFM (2:0 handicap)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.27
LOB 8 of 10 (80%) · FCM 4 of 7 (57%)68.6%
Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.44
FCM 6 of 7 (86%) · LOB 4 of 8 (50%)53.8%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa won 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Lobos UPNFM lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 68% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · won 3, refunded 2, lost 4
Draw or Under 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES
1.72
LOB 7 of 10 (70%) · FCM 5 of 7 (71%)52.7%
Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 71% · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or Over 2.5 GoalsFULL COVERHELD · the odds board 76%
1.32
FCM 6 of 7 (86%) · LOB 6 of 10 (60%)52.6%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa win or both teams scoreHELD · the odds board 85%
1.18
FCM 6 of 7 (86%) · LOB 5 of 10 (50%)49.9%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
LOB 9 of 10 (90%) · FCM 7 of 7 (100%)97%
Lobos UPNFM: under 5.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.13
LOB 8 of 10 (80%) · FCM 7 of 7 (100%)90.6%
Lobos UPNFM: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES
1.37
LOB 7 of 10 (70%) · FCM 7 of 7 (100%)77.5%
Lobos UPNFM: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
LOBOS UPNFM GOALS
Lobos UPNFM Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.38
LOB 7 of 10 (70%) · FCM 7 of 7 (100%)67.2%
Lobos UPNFM scored under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA GOALS
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa Under 2.5 goalsSAFERIN CODES
1.23
FCM 7 of 7 (100%) · LOB 8 of 10 (80%)88.1%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored under 2.5 in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM conceded under 2.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa Over 0.5 goalsHELD · the odds board 84%
1.19
FCM 6 of 7 (86%) · LOB 5 of 10 (50%)54.3%
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Lobos UPNFM conceded in 5 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 68% · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.11
LOB 9 of 10 (90%) · FCM 6 of 7 (86%)89.9%
Lobos UPNFM: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · on half-time scores · Lobos UPNFM: only games against sides at FC Motagua Tegucigalpa's level · FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: only games against sides at Lobos UPNFM's level
Left off the list: FC Motagua Tegucigalpa or draw and under 3.5 goals (the numbers (50%) and the records (68%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); FC Motagua Tegucigalpa 1UP (the numbers (53%) and the records (86%) are 32 points apart, and nothing settles it)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–1 9.6%
Lobos UPNFM goals →
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa goals ↓
0-09%
1-09%
2-06%
3-03%
4-00.8%
5-00.2%
0-110%
1-114%
2-18%
3-13%
4-11.0%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-28%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.6%
5-20.2%
0-33%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.9%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.3%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.2%
1-50.3%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
LOBOS UPNFMDWLWDWWLLL1.40 PPG
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPAWWLWDWWLDW2.00 PPG
THE NUMBERS
LOBOS UPNFM HOMExFC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA AWAY
1.15SCORED A GAME1.621.23CONCEDED A GAME0.7720%BOTH SCORED30%50%CLEAN SHEETS60%5.25CORNERS A GAME6.892.50CARDS A GAME2.11
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
649 OF 684
PRICE NOT KEPT
The league averages 5.0+ cards a game.
LOBOS UPNFM 3:0 HANDICAP
–
134 OF 142
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
BOTH HALVES OVER 1.5: NO
–
138 OF 151
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight game and the Bank expects under 2.3 goals.
NO TEAM SCORES 3 IN A ROW
–
85 OF 93
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips say a tight or mixed game, the Bank expects under 2.3 goals, and the favourite fails to score in 1 game in 4 or more.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.18POINTS A GAME2.27-0.27GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.09+0.2SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+1.01.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME3.011LEAGUE GAMES11
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
373 OF 433
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
88%
OKAY · 85/90
LOBOS UPNFM OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
FC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA OR DRAW
75%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (11 and 11 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
LOBOS UPNFMxFC MOTAGUA TEGUCIGALPA
6GAMES51.33SCORED A GAME1.401.17CONCEDED A GAME0.402.5GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.850%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%33%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%50%BOTH SCORE20%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Lobos UPNFM have scored in 50% of their games.
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa have scored in 70% of their games.
Lobos UPNFM kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
FC Motagua Tegucigalpa kept a clean sheet in 60% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards