Isa Town vs AL Hala
Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Isa Town have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten league games, 1.2 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L W L L L. AL Hala have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten league games, 1.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W D D.
The numbers. Isa Town score one and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Isa Town average 8.8 shots (3.3 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. AL Hala score 3.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. AL Hala average 10.0 shots (3.3 on target), 4.3 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
The case against. Isa Town's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. AL Hala to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make AL Hala the likelier winners; AL Hala are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Hala. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.
The bets. Best bet: Draw or AL Hala at 1.12, rated 77% (AL Hala unbeaten in 5 of 5 away; Isa Town failed to win 3 of 5 at home). Predicted score: Isa Town 1-2 AL Hala (10% chance).
The agreed story. AL Hala or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).