AL Bahrain vs Um Alhassam
Match details. First Division. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. AL Bahrain have won three, drawn none and lost one of their last four league games, 2.2 points a game. Their last four in the league, newest first: W W W L. Um Alhassam have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten league games, 0.8 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W L L W L.
The numbers. AL Bahrain score 2.5 and concede 1.2 a game over their last four, with one clean sheet. AL Bahrain average 9.6 shots (3.9 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Um Alhassam score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Um Alhassam average 8.0 shots (1.7 on target), 6.7 corners and 2.3 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 67%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.24, rated 73% (AL Bahrain: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 10; Um Alhassam: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 away). The safer one: AL Bahrain or Um Alhassam at 1.22 (90%). Predicted score: AL Bahrain 1-2 Um Alhassam (8% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Um Alhassam the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).