USM EL Harrach vs Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali
Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. USM EL Harrach have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali have won four, drawn two and lost two of their last eight, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L W.
The numbers. USM EL Harrach score two and concede 0.5 a game in their last six at home, with four clean sheets. USM EL Harrach average 14.2 shots (4.0 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali score 1.6 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali average 10.2 shots (3.8 on target), 4.1 corners and 3.2 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The case against. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. USM EL Harrach to win. Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali are the stronger side on form and the table.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: USM EL Harrach 1-0 Irb Sidi M Hamed Benali (10% chance).
The agreed story. USM EL Harrach or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).