THE READ
Match details. Ligue 2. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 Lagos time.
Form. NA Hussein Dey have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L. ESM Kolea have won three, drawn none and lost seven of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L L.
The numbers. NA Hussein Dey score 1.6 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. NA Hussein Dey average 9.1 shots (3.4 on target), 3.7 corners and 3.2 cards a game. ESM Kolea score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. ESM Kolea average 8.3 shots (3.9 on target), 4.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 62%.
The case against. ESM Kolea's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. NA Hussein Dey to win. Their goals for and against make NA Hussein Dey the likelier winners; NA Hussein Dey are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NA Hussein Dey.
The bets. No best bet: the strongest pick did not fit the read of this game. The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.44 (75%). Predicted score: NA Hussein Dey 1-0 ESM Kolea (10% chance).
The agreed story. NA Hussein Dey or the draw, goals in between.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
NA Hussein Dey or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.21
NAH 3 of 5 (60%) · ESM 5 of 8 (62%)75.2%
NA Hussein Dey scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 3 · led or was unbeaten in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ESM Kolea trailed or failed to win in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · NA Hussein Dey: only games against sides at ESM Kolea's level · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
NA Hussein Dey or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAH 5 of 5 (100%) · ESM 7 of 8 (88%)69.4%
NA Hussein Dey: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
NA Hussein Dey or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAH 3 of 5 (60%) · ESM 7 of 8 (88%)68.2%
NA Hussein Dey: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
NA Hussein Dey (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.21
NAH 3 of 5 (60%) · ESM 6 of 8 (75%)63.1%
NA Hussein Dey won 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · ESM Kolea lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level · won 6, refunded 0, lost 3
NA Hussein Dey 1UPMAININ CODES
1.62
NAH 3 of 5 (60%) · ESM 5 of 8 (62%)56.2%
NA Hussein Dey scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · ESM Kolea trailed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · NA Hussein Dey: only games against sides at ESM Kolea's level · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
NA Hussein Dey to WinLEANHELD · the odds board 49%
2.05
NAH 3 of 5 (60%) · ESM 6 of 8 (75%)27.5%
NA Hussein Dey won 3 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea lost 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
GOALS
no price yet
NAH 5 of 5 (100%) · ESM 8 of 8 (100%)92.3%
NA Hussein Dey: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
no price yet
NAH 4 of 5 (80%) · ESM 7 of 8 (88%)87.1%
NA Hussein Dey: under 4.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
1.19
NAH 4 of 5 (80%) · ESM 5 of 8 (62%)72.6%
NA Hussein Dey: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 62% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
Over 1.5 GoalsSAFERIN CODES
1.41
NAH 3 of 5 (60%) · ESM 6 of 8 (75%)56.8%
NA Hussein Dey: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
NA HUSSEIN DEY GOALS
NA Hussein Dey Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAH 5 of 5 (100%) · ESM 7 of 8 (88%)78%
NA Hussein Dey scored in 5 of 5 at home · ESM Kolea conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
ESM KOLEA GOALS
ESM Kolea Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.52
ESM 5 of 8 (62%) · NAH 2 of 5 (40%)49.7%
ESM Kolea scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · NA Hussein Dey conceded in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 62% · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level · NA Hussein Dey: only games in ESM Kolea's division
CARDS
no price yet
NAH 6 of 7 (86%) · ESM 6 of 6 (100%)92.9%
NA Hussein Dey's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ESM Kolea's games: over 3.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · NA Hussein Dey: only games against sides at ESM Kolea's level · ESM Kolea: only games against sides at NA Hussein Dey's level
Left off the list: NA Hussein Dey or Over 2.5 Goals (the numbers (68%) and the records (92%) are 24 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 6.5 Corners (the numbers (40%) and the records (92%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it)
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
PRICE NOT KEPT
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
NA HUSSEIN DEY OR DRAW (1UP)
–
137 OF 146
PRICE NOT KEPT
The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
TRENDS
NA Hussein Dey have scored in 80% of their games.
ESM Kolea have scored in 70% of their games.
NA Hussein Dey kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
ESM Kolea kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.